Football · China Division 1 · 04/07, 13:00

Prediction: Shenzhen Juniors vs Nantong Zhiyun

Expected goals: 2.54 (Shenzhen Juniors 1.5 · Nantong Zhiyun 1.05). The model gives 46% home, 29% draw, 25% away. Over 2.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Shenzhen Juniors is 5-2-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Nantong Zhiyun 4-3-3 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Shenzhen Juniors and 2 for Nantong Zhiyun.

46%1
46% 29% 25%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shenzhen Juniors 1511 · Nantong Zhiyun 1518
Shenzhen JuniorsDrawNantong Zhiyun
Our model46%28%25%
Market46%29%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.54Shenzhen Juniors 1.5 · Nantong Zhiyun 1.05
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 52%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Nantong Zhiyun: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Shenzhen JuniorsNantong Zhiyun
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.40.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.80.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.23.8 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.14.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shenzhen Juniors 002 Nantong Zhiyun

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/09/25
China Division 1
Shenzhen Juniors0-3
HT 0-0
Nantong Zhiyun
10/05/25
China Division 1
Nantong Zhiyun5-0
HT 2-0
Shenzhen Juniors

Standings · China Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 12822 231226
2 Shenzhen Juniors 12723 231523
3 Nantong Zhiyun 12642 12922
4 Guangxi Hengchen 12543 161219
5 Yanbian Longding 12462 151118
6 Wuxi Wugo 12453 201417
7 Dingnan Ganlian FC 12372 181816
8 Ningbo Professional FC 12534 161515
9 Nanjing City 12435 111215
10 Shaanxi Union 11344 13813
11 Dalian K'un City 11344 161713
12 Changchun Yatai 12516 172112
13 Meizhou Hakka 12426 122211
14 Foshan Nanshi 12246 142310
15 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 12237 6149
16 Suzhou Dongwu 12228 8175

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentShenzhen JuniorsNantong Zhiyun
Dalian K'un City 4-5 L 1-0 W
Guangxi Hengchen 1-1 D 0-0 D
Guangdong GZ-Power 0-0 D 1-3 L
Meizhou Hakka 4-1 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Shenzhen Juniors (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shenzhen Juniors

WLWWWWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Dalian K'un City
China Division 1
3-3 4-5 63 L
19/06 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
China FA Cup
0-3 1-3 25 L
14/06 Guangxi Hengchen
China Division 1
0-0 1-1 34 D
29/05 Guangdong GZ-Power
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 55 D
24/05 Changchun Yatai
China Division 1
3-0 4-0 14 W
16/05 Beijing Pengrui
China FA Cup
1-0 1-0 42 W
10/05 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
China Division 1
0-0 2-0 73 W
03/05 Meizhou Hakka
China Division 1
2-1 4-1 54 W
25/04 Foshan Nanshi
China Division 1
0-1 0-3 82 L
18/04 Nanjing City
China Division 1
2-0 3-1 15 W

Nantong Zhiyun

WDWLWLDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Meizhou Hakka
China Division 1
0-1 1-3 114 L
14/06 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
1-0 2-0 75 W
29/05 Ningbo Professional FC
China Division 1
1-0 1-1 68 D
23/05 Guangxi Hengchen
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 51 D
15/05 Dalian Kewei
China FA Cup
1-1 1-2 57 L
10/05 Wuxi Wugo
China Division 1
0-0 1-0 71 W
02/05 Guangdong GZ-Power
China Division 1
0-2 1-3 87 L
26/04 Dalian K'un City
China Division 1
1-0 1-0 106 W
18/04 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 84 D
11/04 Suzhou Dongwu
China Division 1
0-0 1-0 42 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shenzhen Juniors vs Nantong Zhiyun?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shenzhen Juniors win (46%). Probabilities: Shenzhen Juniors 46%, draw 29%, Nantong Zhiyun 25%.

How many goals are expected in Shenzhen Juniors vs Nantong Zhiyun?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Shenzhen Juniors 1.5 · Nantong Zhiyun 1.05), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Shenzhen Juniors vs Nantong Zhiyun?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.