Prediction: Shaanxi Union vs Meizhou Hakka
Expected goals: 2.86 (Shaanxi Union 1.93 · Meizhou Hakka 0.92). The model gives 60% home, 24% draw, 16% away. Over 2.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Shaanxi Union with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Meizhou Hakka has piled up 2-2-6 in the same span.
| Shaanxi Union | Draw | Meizhou Hakka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shaanxi Union (rating 1539 vs 1454).
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shaanxi Union | Meizhou Hakka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.7 | 1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 3.7 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0 |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 24 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Guangxi Hengchen | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 21 |
| 6 | Ningbo Professional FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 7 | Nanjing City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 18 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugo | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 17 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
| 10 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 11 | Changchun Yatai | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 15 |
| 12 | Dalian K'un City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 13 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 10 |
| 14 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Suzhou Dongwu | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 6 |
| 16 | Meizhou Hakka | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shaanxi Union | Meizhou Hakka |
|---|---|---|
| Wuxi Wugo | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Guangdong GZ-Power | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Nanjing City | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Ningbo Professional FC | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Shaanxi Union (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shaanxi Union
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Zhejiang China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 29/05 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Shenzhen 2028 China FA Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
Meizhou Hakka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 30/05 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China FA Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/04 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shaanxi Union vs Meizhou Hakka?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shaanxi Union win (60%). Probabilities: Shaanxi Union 60%, draw 24%, Meizhou Hakka 16%.
How many goals are expected in Shaanxi Union vs Meizhou Hakka?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Shaanxi Union 1.93 · Meizhou Hakka 0.92), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Shaanxi Union vs Meizhou Hakka?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.