Prediction: Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Expected goals: 2.55 (Guangdong GZ-Power 1.94 · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 0.6). The model gives 69% home, 20% draw, 11% away. Under 2.75 goals (55%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Guangdong GZ-Power sits at 5-3-2 (W-D-L), while Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC arrives on a 1-4-5 run. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Guangdong GZ-Power won 2 and Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 0.
| Guangdong GZ-Power | Draw | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 22% | 10% |
| Market | 70% | 19% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guangdong GZ-Power (rating 1553 vs 1424).
- H2H favours Guangdong GZ-Power: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guangdong GZ-Power | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 5.1 | 0.7 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangdong GZ-Power 2–0–0 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 China Division 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
| 04/05/25 China Division 1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Guangdong GZ-Power |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 24 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Guangxi Hengchen | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 21 |
| 6 | Ningbo Professional FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 7 | Nanjing City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 18 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugo | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 17 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
| 10 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 11 | Changchun Yatai | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 15 |
| 12 | Dalian K'un City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 13 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 10 |
| 14 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Suzhou Dongwu | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 6 |
| 16 | Meizhou Hakka | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guangdong GZ-Power | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
|---|---|---|
| Suzhou Dongwu | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Shenzhen Juniors | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Dalian K'un City | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Guangdong GZ-Power (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guangdong GZ-Power
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Beijing Guoan China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
0-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Wuhan Lianzhen China FA Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Shanghai Shenhua China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Guizhou Xufengtang China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangdong GZ-Power win (69%). Probabilities: Guangdong GZ-Power 69%, draw 20%, Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 11%.
How many goals are expected in Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Guangdong GZ-Power 1.94 · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 0.6), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.