Football · China Division 1 · 11/07, 13:00

Prediction: Dalian K'un City vs Nanjing City

Expected goals: 2.64 (Dalian K'un City 1.47 · Nanjing City 1.17). The model gives 42% home, 29% draw, 29% away. Over 2.25 goals (54%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Dalian K'un City is 2-3-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Nanjing City 4-1-5 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Dalian K'un City won 2 and Nanjing City 0.

42%1
42% 29% 29%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalian K'un City 1481 · Nanjing City 1478
Dalian K'un CityDrawNanjing City
Our model43%28%29%
Market42%30%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.64Dalian K'un City 1.47 · Nanjing City 1.17
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 54%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Dalian K'un City: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dalian K'un CityNanjing City
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.81.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 1.30.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 5.53 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 03.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian K'un City 200 Nanjing City

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
13/07/25
China Division 1
Dalian K'un City3-1
HT 1-1
Nanjing City
16/03/25
China Division 1
Nanjing City1-2
HT 0-0
Dalian K'un City

Standings · China Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 13832 251427
2 Shenzhen Juniors 13733 231524
3 Nantong Zhiyun 13652 12923
4 Guangxi Hengchen 13643 191322
5 Yanbian Longding 13562 181121
6 Ningbo Professional FC 13634 181618
7 Nanjing City 13535 141318
8 Wuxi Wugo 13454 211617
9 Shaanxi Union 12444 15916
10 Dingnan Ganlian FC 13373 182116
11 Changchun Yatai 13616 202215
12 Dalian K'un City 12345 172013
13 Foshan Nanshi 13247 152610
14 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 13238 7169
15 Suzhou Dongwu 13238 10196
16 Meizhou Hakka 13427 13255

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDalian K'un CityNanjing City
Guangxi Hengchen 1-3 L 0-1 L
Shenzhen Juniors 5-4 W 1-3 L
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 0-0 D 1-2 L
Ningbo Professional FC 0-1 L 1-2 L
Foshan Nanshi 2-2 D 3-1 W
Wuxi Wugo 3-2 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Dalian K'un City (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dalian K'un City

WLDDLLDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Guangxi Hengchen
China Division 1
1-0 1-3 30 L
27/06 Shenzhen Juniors
China Division 1
3-3 5-4 53 W
13/06 Changchun Yatai
China Division 1
1-2 1-2 70 L
30/05 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 62 D
23/05 Ningbo Professional FC
China Division 1
0-0 0-1 63 L
17/05 Jiangxi Lushan
China FA Cup
0-2 0-2 81 L
10/05 Guangdong GZ-Power
China Division 1
1-1 1-1 04 D
02/05 Foshan Nanshi
China Division 1
1-2 2-2 116 D
26/04 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
0-1 0-1 36 L
19/04 Wuxi Wugo
China Division 1
3-2 3-2 63 W

Nanjing City

LLWWLDWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Foshan Nanshi
China Division 1
3-0 3-1 102 W
27/06 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
China Division 1
1-1 1-2 66 L
13/06 Ningbo Professional FC
China Division 1
1-1 1-2 53 L
29/05 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
1-0 1-0 54 W
23/05 Wuxi Wugo
China Division 1
0-1 1-1 84 D
15/05 Qingdao Red Lions
China FA Cup
0-0 0-1 104 L
09/05 Meizhou Hakka
China Division 1
1-0 2-0 32 W
03/05 Suzhou Dongwu
China Division 1
1-0 1-0 28 W
25/04 Guangxi Hengchen
China Division 1
0-1 0-1 43 L
18/04 Shenzhen Juniors
China Division 1
0-2 1-3 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalian K'un City vs Nanjing City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian K'un City win (42%). Probabilities: Dalian K'un City 42%, draw 29%, Nanjing City 29%.

How many goals are expected in Dalian K'un City vs Nanjing City?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Dalian K'un City 1.47 · Nanjing City 1.17), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Dalian K'un City vs Nanjing City?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.