Prediction: Ningbo Professional FC vs Foshan Nanshi
Expected goals: 2.87 (Ningbo Professional FC 1.89 · Foshan Nanshi 0.99). The model gives 57% home, 25% draw, 18% away. Over 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Ningbo Professional FC with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Foshan Nanshi has piled up 1-4-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Ningbo Professional FC and 2 for Foshan Nanshi, with 2 draws.
| Ningbo Professional FC | Draw | Foshan Nanshi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 24% | 18% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ningbo Professional FC (rating 1558 vs 1449).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ningbo Professional FC | Foshan Nanshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.1 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ningbo Professional FC 2–2–2 Foshan Nanshi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/25 China Division 1 | Foshan Nanshi | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ningbo Professional FC |
| 22/06/25 China Division 1 | Ningbo Professional FC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Foshan Nanshi |
| 13/10/24 China Division 1 | Ningbo Professional FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Foshan Nanshi |
| 02/06/24 China Division 1 | Foshan Nanshi | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Ningbo Professional FC |
| 22/10/23 China Division 1 | Foshan Nanshi | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ningbo Professional FC |
| 09/07/23 China Division 1 | Ningbo Professional FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Foshan Nanshi |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 24 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Guangxi Hengchen | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 21 |
| 6 | Ningbo Professional FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 7 | Nanjing City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 18 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugo | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 17 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
| 10 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 11 | Changchun Yatai | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 15 |
| 12 | Dalian K'un City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 13 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 10 |
| 14 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Suzhou Dongwu | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 6 |
| 16 | Meizhou Hakka | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ningbo Professional FC | Foshan Nanshi |
|---|---|---|
| Suzhou Dongwu | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Nanjing City | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Dalian K'un City | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Shaanxi Union | 1-1 D | 0-5 L |
| Changchun Yatai | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ningbo Professional FC (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ningbo Professional FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 23/05 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Liaocheng Legend China FA Cup |
3-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
3-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
Foshan Nanshi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ningbo Professional FC vs Foshan Nanshi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ningbo Professional FC win (57%). Probabilities: Ningbo Professional FC 57%, draw 25%, Foshan Nanshi 18%.
How many goals are expected in Ningbo Professional FC vs Foshan Nanshi?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Ningbo Professional FC 1.89 · Foshan Nanshi 0.99), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ningbo Professional FC vs Foshan Nanshi?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.