Prediction: Yanbian Longding vs Suzhou Dongwu
Expected goals: 2.49 (Yanbian Longding 1.82 · Suzhou Dongwu 0.67). The model gives 64% home, 23% draw, 13% away. Under 2.5 goals (54%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Yanbian Longding sits at 3-5-2 (W-D-L), while Suzhou Dongwu arrives on a 1-3-6 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Yanbian Longding and 2 for Suzhou Dongwu, with 3 draws.
| Yanbian Longding | Draw | Suzhou Dongwu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 24% | 12% |
| Market | 65% | 23% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanbian Longding (rating 1521 vs 1434).
- H2H favours Suzhou Dongwu: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yanbian Longding | Suzhou Dongwu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 1.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yanbian Longding 1–3–2 Suzhou Dongwu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/25 China Division 1 | Suzhou Dongwu | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Yanbian Longding |
| 01/06/25 China Division 1 | Yanbian Longding | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Suzhou Dongwu |
| 07/07/24 China Division 1 | Yanbian Longding | 0-5 HT 0-1 | Suzhou Dongwu |
| 10/03/24 China Division 1 | Suzhou Dongwu | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Yanbian Longding |
| 29/07/23 China Division 1 | Yanbian Longding | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Suzhou Dongwu |
| 23/04/23 China Division 1 | Suzhou Dongwu | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Yanbian Longding |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 24 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Guangxi Hengchen | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 21 |
| 6 | Ningbo Professional FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 7 | Nanjing City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 18 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugo | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 17 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
| 10 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 11 | Changchun Yatai | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 15 |
| 12 | Dalian K'un City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 13 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 10 |
| 14 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Suzhou Dongwu | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 6 |
| 16 | Meizhou Hakka | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yanbian Longding | Suzhou Dongwu |
|---|---|---|
| Dingnan Ganlian FC | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Foshan Nanshi | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Guangdong GZ-Power | 4-3 W | 2-2 D |
| Wuxi Wugo | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Shaanxi Union | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Ningbo Professional FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Yanbian Longding (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yanbian Longding
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-3 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Shanghai Segenda China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Suzhou Dongwu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Yunnan Yukun China FA Cup |
2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Yulin Mobei Miners China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yanbian Longding vs Suzhou Dongwu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yanbian Longding win (64%). Probabilities: Yanbian Longding 64%, draw 23%, Suzhou Dongwu 13%.
How many goals are expected in Yanbian Longding vs Suzhou Dongwu?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Yanbian Longding 1.82 · Suzhou Dongwu 0.67), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Yanbian Longding vs Suzhou Dongwu?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.