Prediction: Guangxi Hengchen vs Dalian K'un City
Expected goals: 2.82 (Guangxi Hengchen 1.84 · Dalian K'un City 0.97). The model gives 56% home, 25% draw, 18% away. Over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Guangxi Hengchen sits at 4-4-2 (W-D-L), while Dalian K'un City arrives on a 2-3-5 run. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Guangxi Hengchen and 2 for Dalian K'un City.
| Guangxi Hengchen | Draw | Dalian K'un City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guangxi Hengchen (rating 1522 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Dalian K'un City: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guangxi Hengchen | Dalian K'un City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.1 | 3.5 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangxi Hengchen 0–0–2 Dalian K'un City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/24 China Division 2 | Guangxi Hengchen | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Dalian K'un City |
| 24/08/24 China Division 2 | Dalian K'un City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Guangxi Hengchen |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Guangxi Hengchen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | Wuxi Wugo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
| 8 | Ningbo Professional FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
| 9 | Nanjing City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | Shaanxi Union | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | Changchun Yatai | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 12 |
| 13 | Meizhou Hakka | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 11 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 10 |
| 15 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 9 |
| 16 | Suzhou Dongwu | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guangxi Hengchen | Dalian K'un City |
|---|---|---|
| Changchun Yatai | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Shenzhen Juniors | 1-1 D | 5-4 W |
| Foshan Nanshi | 3-3 D | 2-2 D |
| Nantong Zhiyun | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Yanbian Longding | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Guangxi Hengchen (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guangxi Hengchen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Shandong Taishan China FA Cup |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Hubei Istar China FA Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
Dalian K'un City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
3-3 | 5-4 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Jiangxi Lushan China FA Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
3-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guangxi Hengchen vs Dalian K'un City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangxi Hengchen win (56%). Probabilities: Guangxi Hengchen 56%, draw 25%, Dalian K'un City 18%.
How many goals are expected in Guangxi Hengchen vs Dalian K'un City?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Guangxi Hengchen 1.84 · Dalian K'un City 0.97), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Guangxi Hengchen vs Dalian K'un City?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.