Football · China Division 1 · 04/07, 13:00

Prediction: Shaanxi Union vs Wuxi Wugo

Expected goals: 2.35 (Shaanxi Union 1.38 · Wuxi Wugo 0.97). The model gives 45% home, 30% draw, 25% away. Over 2.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Shaanxi Union with 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Wuxi Wugo has piled up 2-6-2 in the same span.

45%1
45% 30% 25%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shaanxi Union 1523 · Wuxi Wugo 1505
Shaanxi UnionDrawWuxi Wugo
Our model45%30%25%
Market45%30%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.35Shaanxi Union 1.38 · Wuxi Wugo 0.97
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 50%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Shaanxi UnionWuxi Wugo
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.61.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.31.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 32 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.22.9 / 0.3

Standings · China Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 12822 231226
2 Shenzhen Juniors 12723 231523
3 Nantong Zhiyun 12642 12922
4 Guangxi Hengchen 12543 161219
5 Yanbian Longding 12462 151118
6 Wuxi Wugo 12453 201417
7 Dingnan Ganlian FC 12372 181816
8 Ningbo Professional FC 12534 161515
9 Nanjing City 12435 111215
10 Shaanxi Union 11344 13813
11 Dalian K'un City 11344 161713
12 Changchun Yatai 12516 172112
13 Meizhou Hakka 12426 122211
14 Foshan Nanshi 12246 142310
15 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 12237 6149
16 Suzhou Dongwu 12228 8175

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentShaanxi UnionWuxi Wugo
Nanjing City 0-1 L 1-1 D
Suzhou Dongwu 3-0 W 3-1 W
Yanbian Longding 0-0 D 1-1 D
Nantong Zhiyun 0-0 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Shaanxi Union (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shaanxi Union

DDDDWWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Guangdong GZ-Power
China Division 1
1-1 1-2 02 L
19/06 Zhejiang
China FA Cup
1-0 1-1 13 D
14/06 Foshan Nanshi
China Division 1
2-0 5-0 37 W
29/05 Nanjing City
China Division 1
0-1 0-1 44 L
24/05 Suzhou Dongwu
China Division 1
1-0 3-0 33 W
15/05 Shenzhen 2028
China FA Cup
2-0 2-0 77 W
10/05 Ningbo Professional FC
China Division 1
0-0 1-1 40 D
02/05 Dingnan Jiangxi United
China Division 1
1-1 1-1 40 D
25/04 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 17 D
18/04 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 34 D

Wuxi Wugo

LDDLWDWDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Dingnan Ganlian FC
China Division 1
2-2 3-3 57 D
20/06 Qingdao Hainiu
China FA Cup
1-2 2-2 61 D
14/06 Meizhou Hakka
China Division 1
1-1 1-1 50 D
30/05 Suzhou Dongwu
China Division 1
2-1 3-1 74 W
23/05 Nanjing City
China Division 1
1-0 1-1 34 D
16/05 Guangzhou Dandelion
China FA Cup
2-0 2-0 43 W
10/05 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
0-0 0-1 41 L
02/05 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
1-0 1-1 36 D
26/04 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 43 D
19/04 Dalian K'un City
China Division 1
2-3 2-3 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shaanxi Union vs Wuxi Wugo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shaanxi Union win (45%). Probabilities: Shaanxi Union 45%, draw 30%, Wuxi Wugo 25%.

How many goals are expected in Shaanxi Union vs Wuxi Wugo?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Shaanxi Union 1.38 · Wuxi Wugo 0.97), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Shaanxi Union vs Wuxi Wugo?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.