Prediction: Nanjing City vs Foshan Nanshi
Expected goals: 2.43 (Nanjing City 1.57 · Foshan Nanshi 0.86). The model gives 53% home, 27% draw, 20% away. Over 2.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Nanjing City with 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Foshan Nanshi has piled up 2-4-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Nanjing City and 0 for Foshan Nanshi, with 4 draws.
| Nanjing City | Draw | Foshan Nanshi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 28% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Nanjing City: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nanjing City | Foshan Nanshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.2 | 1.7 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nanjing City 2–4–0 Foshan Nanshi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Foshan Nanshi |
| 11/05/25 China Division 1 | Foshan Nanshi | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Nanjing City |
| 31/08/24 China Division 1 | Foshan Nanshi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nanjing City |
| 13/04/24 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Foshan Nanshi |
| 06/08/23 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Foshan Nanshi |
| 30/04/23 China Division 1 | Foshan Nanshi | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Nanjing City |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Guangxi Hengchen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | Wuxi Wugo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
| 8 | Ningbo Professional FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
| 9 | Nanjing City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | Shaanxi Union | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | Changchun Yatai | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 12 |
| 13 | Meizhou Hakka | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 11 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 10 |
| 15 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 9 |
| 16 | Suzhou Dongwu | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nanjing City | Foshan Nanshi |
|---|---|---|
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Shaanxi Union | 1-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Suzhou Dongwu | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Guangxi Hengchen | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Shenzhen Juniors | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Dingnan Jiangxi United | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Foshan Nanshi (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nanjing City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Qingdao Red Lions China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Foshan Nanshi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nanjing City vs Foshan Nanshi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nanjing City win (53%). Probabilities: Nanjing City 53%, draw 27%, Foshan Nanshi 20%.
How many goals are expected in Nanjing City vs Foshan Nanshi?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Nanjing City 1.57 · Foshan Nanshi 0.86), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nanjing City vs Foshan Nanshi?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.