Football · China Division 1 · 18/07, 13:30
Prediction: Guangxi Hengchen vs Shaanxi Union
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Guangxi Hengchen1.47
Shaanxi Union1.05
1X2
Guangxi Hengchen
Draw
Shaanxi Union
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Guangxi Hengchen
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Shaanxi Union
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guangxi Hengchen
0–2
Shaanxi Union
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guangxi Hengchen 1545 · Shaanxi Union 1549
| Guangxi Hengchen | Draw | Shaanxi Union | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 29% | 26% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Shaanxi Union: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guangxi Hengchen | Shaanxi Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 7.2 | 2.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangxi Hengchen 0–0–2 Shaanxi Union
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/24 China Division 2 | Shaanxi Union | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Guangxi Hengchen |
| 07/09/24 China Division 2 | Guangxi Hengchen | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Shaanxi Union |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Yanbian Longding | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Nantong Zhiyun | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Guangxi Hengchen | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Ningbo Professional FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 21 |
| 7 | Shaanxi Union | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Nanjing City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 18 |
| 9 | Wuxi Wugo | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 17 |
| 10 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 24 | 17 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 16 |
| 12 | Changchun Yatai | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 10 |
| 14 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 9 |
| 15 | Suzhou Dongwu | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 6 |
| 16 | Meizhou Hakka | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guangxi Hengchen | Shaanxi Union |
|---|---|---|
| Foshan Nanshi | 3-3 D | 5-0 W |
| Nanjing City | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guangxi Hengchen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Shandong Taishan China FA Cup |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Hubei Istar China FA Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Shaanxi Union
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Zhejiang China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 29/05 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Shenzhen 2028 China FA Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guangxi Hengchen vs Shaanxi Union?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangxi Hengchen win (46%). Probabilities: Guangxi Hengchen 46%, draw 28%, Shaanxi Union 26%.
How many goals are expected in Guangxi Hengchen vs Shaanxi Union?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Guangxi Hengchen 1.47 · Shaanxi Union 1.05), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Guangxi Hengchen vs Shaanxi Union?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.