Football · China Division 1 · 17/07, 13:00

Prediction: Changchun Yatai vs Wuxi Wugo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Changchun Yatai1.68
Wuxi Wugo1.27
1X2
45% 27% 28%
Changchun Yatai Draw Wuxi Wugo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Changchun Yatai 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLLWDLDWLW
Wuxi Wugo 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DDLWDWDDDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Changchun Yatai 1503 · Wuxi Wugo 1508
Changchun YataiDrawWuxi Wugo
Our model46%26%28%
Market45%28%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Changchun YataiWuxi Wugo
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.91.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 1.11 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 4.91.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.22.9 / 0.3

Standings · China Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 14932 271430
2 Shenzhen Juniors 14743 261825
3 Yanbian Longding 14662 211224
4 Nantong Zhiyun 13652 12923
5 Guangxi Hengchen 13643 191322
6 Ningbo Professional FC 14734 191621
7 Shaanxi Union 13544 19919
8 Nanjing City 14536 141518
9 Wuxi Wugo 13454 211617
10 Dingnan Ganlian FC 14383 212417
11 Dalian K'un City 13445 192016
12 Changchun Yatai 13616 202215
13 Foshan Nanshi 14248 152710
14 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 14239 7189
15 Suzhou Dongwu 14239 11226
16 Meizhou Hakka 14428 13295

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChangchun YataiWuxi Wugo
Meizhou Hakka 3-1 W 1-1 D
Yanbian Longding 2-2 D 1-1 D
Dingnan Ganlian FC 3-2 W 3-3 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Changchun Yatai (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Changchun Yatai

WLLWDLDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Meizhou Hakka
China Division 1
2-1 3-1 20 W
27/06 Guangxi Hengchen
China Division 1
0-0 1-2 73 L
13/06 Dalian K'un City
China Division 1
2-1 2-1 20 W
30/05 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
1-1 2-2 64 D
24/05 Shenzhen Juniors
China Division 1
0-3 0-4 74 L
16/05 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China FA Cup
1-0 1-1 104 D
09/05 Dingnan Ganlian FC
China Division 1
1-1 3-2 64 W
03/05 Ningbo Professional FC
China Division 1
1-3 1-3 20 L
26/04 Guangdong GZ-Power
China Division 1
1-1 1-2 64 L
18/04 Foshan Nanshi
China Division 1
1-0 3-1 16 W

Wuxi Wugo

DDLWDWDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
0-0 1-2 13 L
28/06 Dingnan Ganlian FC
China Division 1
2-2 3-3 57 D
20/06 Qingdao Hainiu
China FA Cup
1-2 2-2 61 D
14/06 Meizhou Hakka
China Division 1
1-1 1-1 50 D
30/05 Suzhou Dongwu
China Division 1
2-1 3-1 74 W
23/05 Nanjing City
China Division 1
1-0 1-1 34 D
16/05 Guangzhou Dandelion
China FA Cup
2-0 2-0 43 W
10/05 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
0-0 0-1 41 L
02/05 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
1-0 1-1 36 D
26/04 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 43 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Changchun Yatai vs Wuxi Wugo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Changchun Yatai win (45%). Probabilities: Changchun Yatai 45%, draw 27%, Wuxi Wugo 28%.

How many goals are expected in Changchun Yatai vs Wuxi Wugo?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Changchun Yatai 1.68 · Wuxi Wugo 1.27), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Changchun Yatai vs Wuxi Wugo?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.