Football · China Division 1 · 17/07, 13:30

Prediction: Foshan Nanshi vs Nantong Zhiyun

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Foshan Nanshi0.93
Nantong Zhiyun1.34
1X2
25% 29% 46%
Foshan Nanshi Draw Nantong Zhiyun
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Foshan Nanshi 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
WDDLDDLLLL
Nantong Zhiyun 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DWLWLDDWLD
Head-to-head
Foshan Nanshi 0–1–1 Nantong Zhiyun (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Foshan Nanshi 1434 · Nantong Zhiyun 1499
Foshan NanshiDrawNantong Zhiyun
Our model25%30%45%
Market26%28%46%
Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantong Zhiyun (rating 1434 vs 1499).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Foshan NanshiNantong Zhiyun
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.90.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.10.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 33.7 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 04.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Foshan Nanshi 011 Nantong Zhiyun

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/08/25
China Division 1
Foshan Nanshi1-1
HT 0-0
Nantong Zhiyun
13/04/25
China Division 1
Nantong Zhiyun2-0
HT 2-0
Foshan Nanshi

Standings · China Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 14932 271430
2 Shenzhen Juniors 14743 261825
3 Yanbian Longding 14662 211224
4 Nantong Zhiyun 13652 12923
5 Guangxi Hengchen 13643 191322
6 Ningbo Professional FC 14734 191621
7 Shaanxi Union 13544 19919
8 Nanjing City 14536 141518
9 Wuxi Wugo 13454 211617
10 Dingnan Ganlian FC 14383 212417
11 Dalian K'un City 13445 192016
12 Changchun Yatai 13616 202215
13 Foshan Nanshi 14248 152710
14 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 14239 7189
15 Suzhou Dongwu 14239 11226
16 Meizhou Hakka 14428 13295

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFoshan NanshiNantong Zhiyun
Ningbo Professional FC 0-1 L 1-1 D
Yanbian Longding 0-2 L 2-0 W
Shaanxi Union 0-5 L 0-0 D
Guangxi Hengchen 3-3 D 0-0 D
Dalian K'un City 2-2 D 1-0 W
Shenzhen Juniors 3-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Nantong Zhiyun (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Foshan Nanshi

WDDLDDLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/07 Ningbo Professional FC
China Division 1
0-1 0-1 33 L
05/07 Nanjing City
China Division 1
0-3 1-3 22 L
27/06 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
0-2 0-2 36 L
14/06 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
0-2 0-5 37 L
30/05 Guangxi Hengchen
China Division 1
1-2 3-3 63 D
23/05 Dingnan Ganlian FC
China Division 1
1-0 1-1 33 D
15/05 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China FA Cup
0-0 0-1 02 L
10/05 Suzhou Dongwu
China Division 1
0-0 1-1 33 D
02/05 Dalian K'un City
China Division 1
2-1 2-2 36 D
25/04 Shenzhen Juniors
China Division 1
1-0 3-0 42 W

Nantong Zhiyun

DWLWLDDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Shenzhen Juniors
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 25 D
27/06 Meizhou Hakka
China Division 1
0-1 1-3 114 L
14/06 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
1-0 2-0 75 W
29/05 Ningbo Professional FC
China Division 1
1-0 1-1 68 D
23/05 Guangxi Hengchen
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 51 D
15/05 Dalian Kewei
China FA Cup
1-1 1-2 57 L
10/05 Wuxi Wugo
China Division 1
0-0 1-0 71 W
02/05 Guangdong GZ-Power
China Division 1
0-2 1-3 87 L
26/04 Dalian K'un City
China Division 1
1-0 1-0 106 W
18/04 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 84 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Foshan Nanshi vs Nantong Zhiyun?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nantong Zhiyun win (46%). Probabilities: Foshan Nanshi 25%, draw 29%, Nantong Zhiyun 46%.

How many goals are expected in Foshan Nanshi vs Nantong Zhiyun?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Foshan Nanshi 0.93 · Nantong Zhiyun 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Foshan Nanshi vs Nantong Zhiyun?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.