Prediction: Nanjing City vs Guangdong GZ-Power
| Nanjing City | Draw | Guangdong GZ-Power | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 28% | 43% |
| Market | 29% | 28% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guangdong GZ-Power (rating 1478 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Guangdong GZ-Power: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nanjing City | Guangdong GZ-Power | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.9 | 1.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nanjing City 0–0–2 Guangdong GZ-Power
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/25 China Division 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Nanjing City |
| 31/05/25 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 2-4 HT 1-0 | Guangdong GZ-Power |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Yanbian Longding | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Nantong Zhiyun | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Guangxi Hengchen | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Ningbo Professional FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 21 |
| 7 | Shaanxi Union | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Nanjing City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 18 |
| 9 | Wuxi Wugo | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 17 |
| 10 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 24 | 17 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 16 |
| 12 | Changchun Yatai | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 10 |
| 14 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 9 |
| 15 | Suzhou Dongwu | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 6 |
| 16 | Meizhou Hakka | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nanjing City | Guangdong GZ-Power |
|---|---|---|
| Dalian K'un City | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Shaanxi Union | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Suzhou Dongwu | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Guangdong GZ-Power (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nanjing City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Qingdao Red Lions China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
Guangdong GZ-Power
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Beijing Guoan China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
0-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Wuhan Lianzhen China FA Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nanjing City vs Guangdong GZ-Power?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Guangdong GZ-Power win (43%). Probabilities: Nanjing City 29%, draw 28%, Guangdong GZ-Power 43%.
How many goals are expected in Nanjing City vs Guangdong GZ-Power?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Nanjing City 1.22 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1.52), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nanjing City vs Guangdong GZ-Power?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.