Football · China Division 1 · 18/07, 13:30

Prediction: Meizhou Hakka vs Dalian K'un City

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Meizhou Hakka1.49
Dalian K'un City1.56
1X2
35% 27% 38%
Meizhou Hakka Draw Dalian K'un City
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Meizhou Hakka 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLWDDWLL
Dalian K'un City 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDDLLDLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Meizhou Hakka 1451 · Dalian K'un City 1473
Meizhou HakkaDrawDalian K'un City
Our model35%26%38%
Market35%28%37%
Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Meizhou HakkaDalian K'un City
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.21.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.30.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/10/70%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.32.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 02.7 / 0

Standings · China Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 14932 271430
2 Shenzhen Juniors 14743 261825
3 Yanbian Longding 14662 211224
4 Nantong Zhiyun 13652 12923
5 Guangxi Hengchen 13643 191322
6 Ningbo Professional FC 14734 191621
7 Shaanxi Union 13544 19919
8 Nanjing City 14536 141518
9 Wuxi Wugo 13454 211617
10 Dingnan Ganlian FC 14383 212417
11 Dalian K'un City 13445 192016
12 Changchun Yatai 13616 202215
13 Foshan Nanshi 14248 152710
14 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 14239 7189
15 Suzhou Dongwu 14239 11226
16 Meizhou Hakka 14428 13295

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMeizhou HakkaDalian K'un City
Changchun Yatai 1-3 L 1-2 L
Nantong Zhiyun 3-1 W 0-1 L
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1-0 W 0-0 D
Nanjing City 0-2 L 2-0 W
Shenzhen Juniors 1-4 L 5-4 W
Ningbo Professional FC 0-3 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 4 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Dalian K'un City (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Meizhou Hakka

LLLLWDDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
0-1 0-4 51 L
05/07 Changchun Yatai
China Division 1
1-2 1-3 60 L
27/06 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
1-0 3-1 24 W
14/06 Wuxi Wugo
China Division 1
1-1 1-1 50 D
30/05 Dingnan Jiangxi United
China Division 1
1-2 2-2 63 D
24/05 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
China Division 1
1-0 1-0 25 W
16/05 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China FA Cup
0-2 1-2 83 L
09/05 Nanjing City
China Division 1
0-1 0-2 12 L
03/05 Shenzhen Juniors
China Division 1
1-2 1-4 34 L
25/04 Ningbo Professional FC
China Division 1
0-2 0-3 50 L

Dalian K'un City

LDDLLDLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Nanjing City
China Division 1
0-0 2-0 12 W
05/07 Guangxi Hengchen
China Division 1
1-0 1-3 30 L
27/06 Shenzhen Juniors
China Division 1
3-3 5-4 53 W
13/06 Changchun Yatai
China Division 1
1-2 1-2 70 L
30/05 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 62 D
23/05 Ningbo Professional FC
China Division 1
0-0 0-1 63 L
17/05 Jiangxi Lushan
China FA Cup
0-2 0-2 81 L
10/05 Guangdong GZ-Power
China Division 1
1-1 1-1 04 D
02/05 Foshan Nanshi
China Division 1
1-2 2-2 116 D
26/04 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
0-1 0-1 36 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Meizhou Hakka vs Dalian K'un City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dalian K'un City win (38%). Probabilities: Meizhou Hakka 35%, draw 27%, Dalian K'un City 38%.

How many goals are expected in Meizhou Hakka vs Dalian K'un City?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Meizhou Hakka 1.49 · Dalian K'un City 1.56), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Meizhou Hakka vs Dalian K'un City?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.