Football · China Division 1 · 17/07, 13:30
Prediction: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Yanbian Longding
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC0.92
Yanbian Longding1.19
1X2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Draw
Yanbian Longding
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Yanbian Longding
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
2–2–2
Yanbian Longding
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1437 · Yanbian Longding 1529
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | Draw | Yanbian Longding | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 32% | 41% |
| Market | 28% | 30% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanbian Longding (rating 1437 vs 1529).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | Yanbian Longding | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 2.4 | 1.9 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 2–2–2 Yanbian Longding
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/25 China Division 1 | Yanbian Longding | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
| 13/04/25 China Division 1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Yanbian Longding |
| 01/09/24 China Division 1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Yanbian Longding |
| 13/04/24 China Division 1 | Yanbian Longding | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
| 13/08/23 China Division 1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Yanbian Longding |
| 06/05/23 China Division 1 | Yanbian Longding | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Yanbian Longding | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Nantong Zhiyun | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Guangxi Hengchen | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Ningbo Professional FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 21 |
| 7 | Shaanxi Union | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Nanjing City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 18 |
| 9 | Wuxi Wugo | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 17 |
| 10 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 24 | 17 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 16 |
| 12 | Changchun Yatai | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 10 |
| 14 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 9 |
| 15 | Suzhou Dongwu | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 6 |
| 16 | Meizhou Hakka | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | Yanbian Longding |
|---|---|---|
| Guangdong GZ-Power | 0-2 L | 4-3 W |
| Suzhou Dongwu | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Guangxi Hengchen | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Yanbian Longding (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Shanghai Shenhua China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Guizhou Xufengtang China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Yanbian Longding
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-3 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Shanghai Segenda China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Yanbian Longding?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Yanbian Longding win (41%). Probabilities: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 28%, draw 31%, Yanbian Longding 41%.
How many goals are expected in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Yanbian Longding?
The model expects 2.11 goals (Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 0.92 · Yanbian Longding 1.19), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Yanbian Longding?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.