Football · China Division 1 · 25/07, 13:30
Prediction: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Nantong Zhiyun
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.99Total
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC0.83
Nantong Zhiyun1.16
1X2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Draw
Nantong Zhiyun
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Nantong Zhiyun
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
4–2
Nantong Zhiyun
(6 last)
- Nantong Zhiyun2-1Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC3-1Nantong Zhiyun
- Nantong Zhiyun0-2Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1430 · Nantong Zhiyun 1520
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 33% | 42% |
| Market | 27% | 29% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantong Zhiyun (rating 1430 vs 1520).
- H2H favours Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | Nantong Zhiyun | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.8 | 4 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 4–0–2 Nantong Zhiyun
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 China Division 1 | Nantong Zhiyun | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
| 19/07/25 China Division 1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 29/03/25 China Division 1 | Nantong Zhiyun | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
| 21/11/22 China Division 1 | Nantong Zhiyun | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
| 26/10/22 China Division 1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 21/08/22 China FA Cup | Nantong Zhiyun | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
| 4 | Guangxi Hengchen | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 25 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 6 | Ningbo Professional FC | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 24 |
| 7 | Wuxi Wugo | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 20 |
| 8 | Shaanxi Union | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 19 |
| 9 | Nanjing City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 10 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 25 | 17 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
| 12 | Changchun Yatai | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 27 | 15 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 10 |
| 14 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 8 |
| 16 | Suzhou Dongwu | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | Nantong Zhiyun |
|---|---|---|
| Yanbian Longding | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Guangdong GZ-Power | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Ningbo Professional FC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Dalian K'un City | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Meizhou Hakka | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Shenzhen Juniors | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Nantong Zhiyun (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 11/07 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Shanghai Shenhua China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Guizhou Xufengtang China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Nantong Zhiyun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 23/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 15/05 | Dalian Kewei China FA Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Nantong Zhiyun?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nantong Zhiyun win (43%). Probabilities: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 26%, draw 31%, Nantong Zhiyun 43%.
How many goals are expected in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Nantong Zhiyun?
The model expects 1.99 goals (Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 0.83 · Nantong Zhiyun 1.16), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Nantong Zhiyun?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.