Football · China Division 1 · 26/07, 13:00
Prediction: Dalian K'un City vs Suzhou Dongwu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Dalian K'un City1.79
Suzhou Dongwu1.02
1X2
Dalian K'un City
Draw
Suzhou Dongwu
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dalian K'un City
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Suzhou Dongwu
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dalian K'un City
2–1–0
Suzhou Dongwu
(3 last)
- Suzhou Dongwu1-2Dalian K'un City
- Suzhou Dongwu0-4Dalian K'un City
- Dalian K'un City0-0Suzhou Dongwu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalian K'un City 1483 · Suzhou Dongwu 1416
| Dalian K'un City | Draw | Suzhou Dongwu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalian K'un City (rating 1483 vs 1416).
- H2H favours Dalian K'un City: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dalian K'un City | Suzhou Dongwu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.6 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian K'un City 2–1–0 Suzhou Dongwu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 China Division 1 | Suzhou Dongwu | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Dalian K'un City |
| 03/08/25 China Division 1 | Suzhou Dongwu | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Dalian K'un City |
| 13/04/25 China Division 1 | Dalian K'un City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Suzhou Dongwu |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
| 4 | Guangxi Hengchen | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 25 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 6 | Ningbo Professional FC | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 24 |
| 7 | Wuxi Wugo | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 20 |
| 8 | Shaanxi Union | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 19 |
| 9 | Nanjing City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 10 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 25 | 17 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
| 12 | Changchun Yatai | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 27 | 15 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 10 |
| 14 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 8 |
| 16 | Suzhou Dongwu | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dalian K'un City | Suzhou Dongwu |
|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Juniors | 5-4 W | 0-0 D |
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Ningbo Professional FC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Guangdong GZ-Power | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Foshan Nanshi | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 0 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dalian K'un City (1 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalian K'un City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
3-3 | 5-4 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Jiangxi Lushan China FA Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | D |
Suzhou Dongwu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Yunnan Yukun China FA Cup |
2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Yulin Mobei Miners China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalian K'un City vs Suzhou Dongwu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian K'un City win (54%). Probabilities: Dalian K'un City 54%, draw 26%, Suzhou Dongwu 20%.
How many goals are expected in Dalian K'un City vs Suzhou Dongwu?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Dalian K'un City 1.79 · Suzhou Dongwu 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dalian K'un City vs Suzhou Dongwu?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.