Football · China Division 1 · 25/07, 13:00

Prediction: Ningbo Professional FC vs Guangdong GZ-Power

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Ningbo Professional FC1.12

Guangdong GZ-Power1.48

1X2

27% 29% 44%

Ningbo Professional FC Draw Guangdong GZ-Power

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ningbo Professional FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWLWWWW

Guangdong GZ-Power 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWLDWLWDWW

Head-to-head

Ningbo Professional FC 0–1–2 Guangdong GZ-Power (3 last)

Guangdong GZ-Power2-0Ningbo Professional FC
Ningbo Professional FC2-2Guangdong GZ-Power
Guangdong GZ-Power2-0Ningbo Professional FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ningbo Professional FC 1562 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1566

	Ningbo Professional FC	Draw	Guangdong GZ-Power
Our model	28%	28%	44%
Market	27%	29%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Guangdong GZ-Power: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ningbo Professional FC	Guangdong GZ-Power
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.8	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	1.7 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.10

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.70 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.24
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:42 +27’	3.30	3.10	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:09 +1’	3.79	3.19	2.00
05:09	3.71▼	3.20▲	2.01▲
06:09 +1’	3.70▼	3.24▲	2.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ningbo Professional FC 0–1–2 Guangdong GZ-Power

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 China Division 1	Guangdong GZ-Power	2-0 HT 2-0	Ningbo Professional FC
27/09/25 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	2-2 HT 1-1	Guangdong GZ-Power
17/05/25 China Division 1	Guangdong GZ-Power	2-0 HT 0-0	Ningbo Professional FC

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	15	10	3	2	28	14	33
2	Shenzhen Juniors	15	7	5	3	26	18	26
3	Nantong Zhiyun	14	7	5	2	14	10	26
4	Guangxi Hengchen	14	7	4	3	22	13	25
5	Yanbian Longding	15	6	7	2	21	12	25
6	Ningbo Professional FC	15	8	3	4	20	16	24
7	Wuxi Wugo	14	5	5	4	26	17	20
8	Shaanxi Union	14	5	4	5	19	12	19
9	Nanjing City	15	5	3	7	14	16	18
10	Dingnan Ganlian FC	15	3	8	4	21	25	17
11	Dalian K'un City	14	4	4	6	19	22	16
12	Changchun Yatai	14	6	1	7	21	27	15
13	Foshan Nanshi	15	2	4	9	16	29	10
14	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	15	2	4	9	7	18	10
15	Meizhou Hakka	15	5	2	8	15	29	8
16	Suzhou Dongwu	15	2	4	9	11	22	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ningbo Professional FC	Guangdong GZ-Power
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	2-1 W	2-0 W
Suzhou Dongwu	2-1 W	2-2 D
Nanjing City	2-1 W	1-0 W
Dalian K'un City	1-0 W	1-1 D
Shaanxi Union	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Ningbo Professional FC

DWWDWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
13/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
04/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
28/06	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
20/06	Chongqing Tonglianglong China FA Cup	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
13/06	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
29/05	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-1	1-1	3	8	D
23/05	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
16/05	Liaocheng Legend China FA Cup	3-1	4-1	2	1	W
10/05	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-0	1-1	4	0	D

Guangdong GZ-Power

DWLDWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
11/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
04/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	2-2	2	5	D
27/06	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-1	2-1	12	2	W
19/06	Beijing Guoan China FA Cup	0-1	1-2	1	5	L
13/06	Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
29/05	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
24/05	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-2	3-4	11	5	L
17/05	Wuhan Lianzhen China FA Cup	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
10/05	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	1-1	1-1	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ningbo Professional FC vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guangdong GZ-Power win (44%). Probabilities: Ningbo Professional FC 27%, draw 29%, Guangdong GZ-Power 44%.

How many goals are expected in Ningbo Professional FC vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Ningbo Professional FC 1.12 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1.48), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ningbo Professional FC vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.