Football · China Division 1 · 01/08, 13:00

Prediction: Ningbo Professional FC vs Guangxi Hengchen

Team pages: Ningbo Professional FC · Guangxi Hengchen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Ningbo Professional FC1.24

Guangxi Hengchen1.55

1X2

29% 28% 43%

Ningbo Professional FC Draw Guangxi Hengchen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ningbo Professional FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWWWWL

Guangxi Hengchen 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWDDDLWWWD

Head-to-head

Ningbo Professional FC 0–2 Guangxi Hengchen (2 last)

Guangxi Hengchen2-1Ningbo Professional FC
Guangxi Hengchen2-1Ningbo Professional FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ningbo Professional FC 1549 · Guangxi Hengchen 1541

	Ningbo Professional FC	Draw	Guangxi Hengchen
Our model	29%	27%	43%
Market	29%	29%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Guangxi Hengchen: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ningbo Professional FC	Guangxi Hengchen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	2.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.1	4.5 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.10

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.30
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.34 ★
2	2.35 → 2.10▼	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
08:03 +9’	2.70	3.10	2.35
11:11 +8’	3.10▲	3.10	2.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:12 +1’	3.36	3.26	2.11
11:20	3.32▼	3.26	2.13▲
12:34	3.31▼	3.30▲	2.11▼
13:57	3.30▼	3.34▲	2.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ningbo Professional FC 0–0–2 Guangxi Hengchen

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
20/03/26 China Division 1	Guangxi Hengchen	2-1 HT 1-0	Ningbo Professional FC
19/04/25 China FA Cup	Guangxi Hengchen	2-1 HT 1-1	Ningbo Professional FC

Standings · China Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	16	11	3	2	30	15	36
2	Yanbian Longding	16	7	7	2	23	13	28
3	Nantong Zhiyun	15	7	6	2	15	11	27
4	Guangxi Hengchen	15	7	5	3	26	17	26
5	Shenzhen Juniors	16	7	5	4	26	21	26
6	Ningbo Professional FC	16	8	3	5	21	18	24
7	Wuxi Wugo	15	6	5	4	28	17	23
8	Shaanxi Union	15	6	4	5	22	12	22
9	Changchun Yatai	15	7	1	7	23	28	18
10	Nanjing City	16	5	3	8	15	18	18
11	Dingnan Ganlian FC	16	3	9	4	25	29	18
12	Dalian K'un City	15	4	5	6	19	22	17
13	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	16	2	5	9	8	19	11
14	Foshan Nanshi	16	2	4	10	16	31	10
15	Suzhou Dongwu	16	2	5	9	11	22	8
16	Meizhou Hakka	16	5	2	9	16	31	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ningbo Professional FC	Guangxi Hengchen
Dingnan Ganlian FC	1-0 W	4-4 D
Foshan Nanshi	1-0 W	3-3 D
Nantong Zhiyun	1-1 D	0-0 D
Dalian K'un City	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ningbo Professional FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Ningbo Professional FC

WWDWLWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-0	1-2	8	2	L
18/07	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
13/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
04/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
28/06	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
20/06	Chongqing Tonglianglong China FA Cup	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
13/06	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
29/05	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-1	1-1	3	8	D
23/05	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
16/05	Liaocheng Legend China FA Cup	3-1	4-1	2	1	W

Guangxi Hengchen

DWDDDLWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	2-1	4-4	8	4	D
18/07	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-0	3-0	13	3	W
05/07	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-1	3-1	7	0	W
27/06	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
20/06	Shandong Taishan China FA Cup	0-2	0-5	6	0	L
14/06	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	1-1	12	4	D
30/05	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-1	3-3	4	3	D
23/05	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
17/05	Hubei Istar China FA Cup	2-0	4-0	6	0	W
10/05	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-1	1-1	11	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ningbo Professional FC vs Guangxi Hengchen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guangxi Hengchen win (43%). Probabilities: Ningbo Professional FC 29%, draw 28%, Guangxi Hengchen 43%.

How many goals are expected in Ningbo Professional FC vs Guangxi Hengchen?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Ningbo Professional FC 1.24 · Guangxi Hengchen 1.55), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ningbo Professional FC vs Guangxi Hengchen?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.