Football · China Division 1 · 01/08, 13:30

Prediction: Guangdong GZ-Power vs Foshan Nanshi

Team pages: Guangdong GZ-Power · Foshan Nanshi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Guangdong GZ-Power2.47

Foshan Nanshi0.95

1X2

69% 20% 11%

Guangdong GZ-Power Draw Foshan Nanshi

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Guangdong GZ-Power 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWDWWW

Foshan Nanshi 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DLDDLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Guangdong GZ-Power 3–0 Foshan Nanshi (3 last)

Foshan Nanshi2-3Guangdong GZ-Power
Foshan Nanshi2-3Guangdong GZ-Power
Guangdong GZ-Power2-0Foshan Nanshi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guangdong GZ-Power 1583 · Foshan Nanshi 1385

	Guangdong GZ-Power	Draw	Foshan Nanshi
Our model	70%	18%	12%
Market	69%	21%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guangdong GZ-Power (rating 1583 vs 1385).
H2H favours Guangdong GZ-Power: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guangdong GZ-Power	Foshan Nanshi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	0.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.7	1.7 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.30

X4.33

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 13:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.30▲	Pinn 1.31
X	5.25 → 4.33▼	Pinn 5.06 ★
2	11.00 → 8.50▼	Pinn 8.63

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:03 +10’	1.20	5.25	11.00
11:18 +2’	1.30▲	4.33▼	8.50▼
12:35 +1’	1.20▼	5.25▲	11.00▲
13:57 +1’	1.30▲	4.33▼	8.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:35	1.31	5.05	8.44
13:57 +1’	1.31▼	5.06▲	8.63▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangdong GZ-Power 3–0–0 Foshan Nanshi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 China Division 1	Foshan Nanshi	2-3 HT 0-2	Guangdong GZ-Power
16/08/25 China Division 1	Foshan Nanshi	2-3 HT 1-1	Guangdong GZ-Power
27/04/25 China Division 1	Guangdong GZ-Power	2-0 HT 0-0	Foshan Nanshi

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	16	11	3	2	30	15	36
2	Yanbian Longding	16	7	7	2	23	13	28
3	Nantong Zhiyun	15	7	6	2	15	11	27
4	Guangxi Hengchen	15	7	5	3	26	17	26
5	Shenzhen Juniors	16	7	5	4	26	21	26
6	Ningbo Professional FC	16	8	3	5	21	18	24
7	Wuxi Wugo	15	6	5	4	28	17	23
8	Shaanxi Union	15	6	4	5	22	12	22
9	Changchun Yatai	15	7	1	7	23	28	18
10	Nanjing City	16	5	3	8	15	18	18
11	Dingnan Ganlian FC	16	3	9	4	25	29	18
12	Dalian K'un City	15	4	5	6	19	22	17
13	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	16	2	5	9	8	19	11
14	Foshan Nanshi	16	2	4	10	16	31	10
15	Suzhou Dongwu	16	2	5	9	11	22	8
16	Meizhou Hakka	16	5	2	9	16	31	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guangdong GZ-Power	Foshan Nanshi
Ningbo Professional FC	2-1 W	0-1 L
Nanjing City	1-0 W	1-3 L
Suzhou Dongwu	2-2 D	1-1 D
Shaanxi Union	2-1 W	0-5 L
Yanbian Longding	3-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Guangdong GZ-Power (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Guangdong GZ-Power

WLDWLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
18/07	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
11/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
04/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	2-2	2	5	D
27/06	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-1	2-1	12	2	W
19/06	Beijing Guoan China FA Cup	0-1	1-2	1	5	L
13/06	Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
29/05	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
24/05	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-2	3-4	11	5	L
17/05	Wuhan Lianzhen China FA Cup	0-0	1-0	2	3	W

Foshan Nanshi

DLDDLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-0	0-2	9	4	L
17/07	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
13/07	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
05/07	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-3	1-3	2	2	L
27/06	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-2	0-2	3	6	L
14/06	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-2	0-5	3	7	L
30/05	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-2	3-3	6	3	D
23/05	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
15/05	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China FA Cup	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
10/05	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guangdong GZ-Power vs Foshan Nanshi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangdong GZ-Power win (69%). Probabilities: Guangdong GZ-Power 69%, draw 20%, Foshan Nanshi 11%.

How many goals are expected in Guangdong GZ-Power vs Foshan Nanshi?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Guangdong GZ-Power 2.47 · Foshan Nanshi 0.95), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Guangdong GZ-Power vs Foshan Nanshi?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.