Football · China Division 1 · 02/08, 13:00

Prediction: Suzhou Dongwu vs Meizhou Hakka

Team pages: Suzhou Dongwu · Meizhou Hakka

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Suzhou Dongwu1.44
Meizhou Hakka1.25
1X2
40% 29% 31%
Suzhou Dongwu Draw Meizhou Hakka
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Suzhou Dongwu 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
WLLDLLDLDD
Meizhou Hakka 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLWDDWLLWL
Head-to-head
Suzhou Dongwu 2–1–2 Meizhou Hakka (5 last)
  • Meizhou Hakka1-2Suzhou Dongwu
  • Suzhou Dongwu1-1Meizhou Hakka
  • Suzhou Dongwu1-3Meizhou Hakka
  • Meizhou Hakka3-1Suzhou Dongwu
  • Suzhou Dongwu2-0Meizhou Hakka
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Suzhou Dongwu 1456 · Meizhou Hakka 1473
Suzhou DongwuDrawMeizhou Hakka
Our model40%28%31%
Market40%29%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Suzhou DongwuMeizhou Hakka
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.81.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.90.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.92.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.12.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Suzhou Dongwu 212 Meizhou Hakka

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
China Division 1
Meizhou Hakka1-2
HT 0-1
Suzhou Dongwu
22/06/23
China FA Cup
Suzhou Dongwu1-1
HT 0-0
Meizhou Hakka
03/10/21
China Division 1
Suzhou Dongwu1-3
HT 0-1
Meizhou Hakka
16/09/21
China Division 1
Meizhou Hakka3-1
HT 1-1
Suzhou Dongwu
19/04/17
China FA Cup
Suzhou Dongwu2-0
HT 1-0
Meizhou Hakka

Standings · China Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 161132 301536
2 Yanbian Longding 16772 231328
3 Nantong Zhiyun 15762 151127
4 Guangxi Hengchen 15753 261726
5 Shenzhen Juniors 16754 262126
6 Ningbo Professional FC 16835 211824
7 Wuxi Wugo 15654 281723
8 Shaanxi Union 15645 221222
9 Changchun Yatai 15717 232818
10 Nanjing City 16538 151818
11 Dingnan Ganlian FC 16394 252918
12 Dalian K'un City 15456 192217
13 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 16259 81911
14 Foshan Nanshi 162410 163110
15 Suzhou Dongwu 16259 11228
16 Meizhou Hakka 16529 16318

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSuzhou DongwuMeizhou Hakka
Dalian K'un City 0-0 D 2-0 W
Yanbian Longding 1-3 L 1-2 L
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1-1 D 1-0 W
Wuxi Wugo 1-3 L 1-1 D
Shaanxi Union 0-3 L 0-4 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Meizhou Hakka (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Suzhou Dongwu

WLLDLLDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Dalian K'un City
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 15 D
17/07 Shenzhen Juniors
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 54 D
11/07 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
1-0 1-3 24 L
04/07 Guangdong GZ-Power
China Division 1
0-0 2-2 35 D
28/06 Ningbo Professional FC
China Division 1
0-2 1-2 104 L
21/06 Yunnan Yukun
China FA Cup
2-3 2-4 42 L
13/06 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
China Division 1
0-1 1-1 05 D
30/05 Wuxi Wugo
China Division 1
1-2 1-3 54 L
24/05 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
0-1 0-3 53 L
16/05 Yulin Mobei Miners
China FA Cup
1-0 2-0 43 W

Meizhou Hakka

LLWDDWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
1-2 1-2 75 L
18/07 Dalian K'un City
China Division 1
2-0 2-0 72 W
11/07 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
0-1 0-4 51 L
05/07 Changchun Yatai
China Division 1
1-2 1-3 60 L
27/06 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
1-0 3-1 24 W
14/06 Wuxi Wugo
China Division 1
1-1 1-1 50 D
30/05 Dingnan Ganlian FC
China Division 1
1-2 2-2 63 D
24/05 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
China Division 1
1-0 1-0 25 W
16/05 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China FA Cup
0-2 1-2 83 L
09/05 Nanjing City
China Division 1
0-1 0-2 12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Suzhou Dongwu vs Meizhou Hakka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Suzhou Dongwu win (40%). Probabilities: Suzhou Dongwu 40%, draw 29%, Meizhou Hakka 31%.

How many goals are expected in Suzhou Dongwu vs Meizhou Hakka?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Suzhou Dongwu 1.44 · Meizhou Hakka 1.25), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Suzhou Dongwu vs Meizhou Hakka?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.