Football · China Division 1 · 01/08, 13:00

Prediction: Dalian K'un City vs Shaanxi Union

Team pages: Dalian K'un City · Shaanxi Union

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Dalian K'un City1.4

Shaanxi Union1.27

1X2

39% 28% 33%

Dalian K'un City Draw Shaanxi Union

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Dalian K'un City 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Shaanxi Union 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Dalian K'un City 1–1–2 Shaanxi Union (4 last)

Dalian K'un City3-0Shaanxi Union
Shaanxi Union2-1Dalian K'un City
Dalian K'un City1-1Shaanxi Union
Shaanxi Union2-1Dalian K'un City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalian K'un City 1475 · Shaanxi Union 1512

	Dalian K'un City	Draw	Shaanxi Union
Our model	39%	28%	33%
Market	39%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shaanxi Union: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dalian K'un City	Shaanxi Union
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.6	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.20

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.50▲	Pinn 2.51
X	3.20 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.12
2	2.70 → 2.50▼	Pinn 2.79 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:03 +9’	2.30	3.20	2.70
13:52 +6’	2.50▲	3.10▼	2.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:20	2.46	3.10	2.86
13:57 +1’	2.51▲	3.12▲	2.79▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian K'un City 1–1–2 Shaanxi Union

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/11/25 China Division 1	Dalian K'un City	3-0 HT 1-0	Shaanxi Union
28/06/25 China Division 1	Shaanxi Union	2-1 HT 1-1	Dalian K'un City
28/07/24 China Division 2	Dalian K'un City	1-1 HT 1-1	Shaanxi Union
25/05/24 China Division 2	Shaanxi Union	2-1 HT 2-0	Dalian K'un City

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	16	11	3	2	30	15	36
2	Yanbian Longding	16	7	7	2	23	13	28
3	Nantong Zhiyun	15	7	6	2	15	11	27
4	Guangxi Hengchen	15	7	5	3	26	17	26
5	Shenzhen Juniors	16	7	5	4	26	21	26
6	Ningbo Professional FC	16	8	3	5	21	18	24
7	Wuxi Wugo	15	6	5	4	28	17	23
8	Shaanxi Union	15	6	4	5	22	12	22
9	Changchun Yatai	15	7	1	7	23	28	18
10	Nanjing City	16	5	3	8	15	18	18
11	Dingnan Ganlian FC	16	3	9	4	25	29	18
12	Dalian K'un City	15	4	5	6	19	22	17
13	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	16	2	5	9	8	19	11
14	Foshan Nanshi	16	2	4	10	16	31	10
15	Suzhou Dongwu	16	2	5	9	11	22	8
16	Meizhou Hakka	16	5	2	9	16	31	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dalian K'un City	Shaanxi Union
Suzhou Dongwu	0-0 D	3-0 W
Meizhou Hakka	0-2 L	4-0 W
Nanjing City	2-0 W	0-1 L
Guangxi Hengchen	1-3 L	0-3 L
Shenzhen Juniors	5-4 W	3-0 W
Guangdong GZ-Power	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dalian K'un City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
18/07	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-2	0-2	9	2	L
11/07	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-0	2-0	1	2	W
05/07	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-0	1-3	3	0	L
27/06	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	3-3	5-4	5	3	W
13/06	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	1-2	1-2	7	0	L
30/05	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
23/05	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
17/05	Jiangxi Lushan China FA Cup	0-2	0-2	8	1	L
10/05	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	1-1	1-1	0	4	D

Shaanxi Union

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	2-0	3-0	10	4	W
22/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China FA Cup	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
18/07	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
11/07	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-0	4-0	5	1	W
04/07	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-0	2-1	10	3	W
27/06	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	1-1	1-2	0	2	L
19/06	Zhejiang China FA Cup	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
14/06	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-0	5-0	3	7	W
29/05	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
24/05	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	1-0	3-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalian K'un City vs Shaanxi Union?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian K'un City win (39%). Probabilities: Dalian K'un City 39%, draw 28%, Shaanxi Union 33%.

How many goals are expected in Dalian K'un City vs Shaanxi Union?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Dalian K'un City 1.4 · Shaanxi Union 1.27), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dalian K'un City vs Shaanxi Union?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.