Football · China Division 1 · 02/08, 13:00

Prediction: Shenzhen Juniors vs Wuxi Wugo

Team pages: Shenzhen Juniors · Wuxi Wugo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Shenzhen Juniors1.64
Wuxi Wugo1.35
1X2
43% 27% 30%
Shenzhen Juniors Draw Wuxi Wugo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Shenzhen Juniors 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
WWDDLLDDDL
Wuxi Wugo 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWDDDLWW
Head-to-head
Shenzhen Juniors 0–1 Wuxi Wugo (1 last)
  • Wuxi Wugo4-0Shenzhen Juniors
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shenzhen Juniors 1475 · Wuxi Wugo 1548
Shenzhen JuniorsDrawWuxi Wugo
Our model43%26%30%
Market43%28%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wuxi Wugo (rating 1475 vs 1548).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Shenzhen JuniorsWuxi Wugo
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.52 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 11.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 51.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.32.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shenzhen Juniors 001 Wuxi Wugo

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/03/26
China Division 1
Wuxi Wugo4-0
HT 1-0
Shenzhen Juniors

Standings · China Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 161132 301536
2 Yanbian Longding 16772 231328
3 Nantong Zhiyun 15762 151127
4 Guangxi Hengchen 15753 261726
5 Shenzhen Juniors 16754 262126
6 Ningbo Professional FC 16835 211824
7 Wuxi Wugo 15654 281723
8 Shaanxi Union 15645 221222
9 Changchun Yatai 15717 232818
10 Nanjing City 16538 151818
11 Dingnan Ganlian FC 16394 252918
12 Dalian K'un City 15456 192217
13 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 16259 81911
14 Foshan Nanshi 162410 163110
15 Suzhou Dongwu 16259 11228
16 Meizhou Hakka 16529 16318

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentShenzhen JuniorsWuxi Wugo
Shaanxi Union 0-3 L 1-2 L
Suzhou Dongwu 0-0 D 3-1 W
Dingnan Ganlian FC 3-3 D 3-3 D
Nantong Zhiyun 0-0 D 0-1 L
Changchun Yatai 4-0 W 5-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Wuxi Wugo (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shenzhen Juniors

WWDDLLDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
0-2 0-3 64 L
17/07 Suzhou Dongwu
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 74 D
12/07 Dingnan Ganlian FC
China Division 1
0-2 3-3 90 D
04/07 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 75 D
27/06 Dalian K'un City
China Division 1
3-3 4-5 63 L
19/06 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
China FA Cup
0-3 1-3 25 L
14/06 Guangxi Hengchen
China Division 1
0-0 1-1 34 D
29/05 Guangdong GZ-Power
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 55 D
24/05 Changchun Yatai
China Division 1
3-0 4-0 14 W
16/05 Beijing Pengrui
China FA Cup
1-0 1-0 42 W

Wuxi Wugo

LWDWDDDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Foshan Nanshi
China Division 1
0-0 2-0 34 W
17/07 Changchun Yatai
China Division 1
2-0 5-1 21 W
04/07 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
0-0 1-2 13 L
28/06 Dingnan Ganlian FC
China Division 1
2-2 3-3 57 D
20/06 Qingdao Hainiu
China FA Cup
1-2 2-2 61 D
14/06 Meizhou Hakka
China Division 1
1-1 1-1 50 D
30/05 Suzhou Dongwu
China Division 1
2-1 3-1 74 W
23/05 Nanjing City
China Division 1
1-0 1-1 34 D
16/05 Guangzhou Dandelion
China FA Cup
2-0 2-0 43 W
10/05 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
0-0 0-1 41 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shenzhen Juniors vs Wuxi Wugo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shenzhen Juniors win (43%). Probabilities: Shenzhen Juniors 43%, draw 27%, Wuxi Wugo 30%.

How many goals are expected in Shenzhen Juniors vs Wuxi Wugo?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Shenzhen Juniors 1.64 · Wuxi Wugo 1.35), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Shenzhen Juniors vs Wuxi Wugo?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.