Football · China Division 1 · 08/08, 13:30

Prediction: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Shaanxi Union

Team pages: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC · Shaanxi Union

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC0.95

Shaanxi Union1.32

1X2

26% 30% 44%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC Draw Shaanxi Union

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLWLLDDD

Shaanxi Union 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWLLWD

Head-to-head

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1–1–1 Shaanxi Union (3 last)

Shaanxi Union1-0Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC1-1Shaanxi Union
Shaanxi Union0-1Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1452 · Shaanxi Union 1524

	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	Draw	Shaanxi Union
Our model	25%	31%	44%
Market	26%	29%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shaanxi Union (rating 1452 vs 1524).
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	Shaanxi Union
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.10

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.69 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.13
2	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:35 +6’	3.40	3.10	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:04	3.69	3.13	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1–1–1 Shaanxi Union

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 China Division 1	Shaanxi Union	1-0 HT 0-0	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
17/08/25 China Division 1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Shaanxi Union
27/04/25 China Division 1	Shaanxi Union	0-1 HT 0-1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	17	11	4	2	31	16	37
2	Nantong Zhiyun	16	8	6	2	20	12	30
3	Shenzhen Juniors	17	8	5	4	27	21	29
4	Guangxi Hengchen	16	8	5	3	30	19	29
5	Yanbian Longding	17	7	8	2	24	14	29
6	Ningbo Professional FC	17	8	3	6	23	22	24
7	Shaanxi Union	16	6	5	5	24	14	23
8	Wuxi Wugo	16	6	5	5	28	18	23
9	Nanjing City	17	5	4	8	16	19	19
10	Changchun Yatai	16	7	2	7	25	30	19
11	Dalian K'un City	16	4	6	6	21	24	18
12	Dingnan Ganlian FC	17	3	9	5	26	34	18
13	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	17	2	6	9	10	21	12
14	Suzhou Dongwu	17	3	5	9	12	22	11
15	Foshan Nanshi	17	2	5	10	17	32	11
16	Meizhou Hakka	17	5	2	10	16	32	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	Shaanxi Union
Guangdong GZ-Power	0-2 L	1-2 L
Nanjing City	2-1 W	0-1 L
Dalian K'un City	0-0 D	2-2 D
Meizhou Hakka	0-1 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Shaanxi Union (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

LDDLWLLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	1-0	2-2	4	3	D
25/07	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
17/07	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-0	0-0	6	9	D
11/07	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-0	0-2	1	3	L
04/07	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-0	1-2	0	3	L
27/06	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
20/06	Shanghai Shenhua China FA Cup	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
13/06	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
30/05	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
24/05	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-1	0-1	1	5	L

Shaanxi Union

LWDLWWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	1-2	2-2	7	6	D
25/07	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	2-0	3-0	10	4	W
22/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China FA Cup	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
18/07	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
11/07	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-0	4-0	5	1	W
04/07	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-0	2-1	10	3	W
27/06	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	1-1	1-2	0	2	L
19/06	Zhejiang China FA Cup	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
14/06	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-0	5-0	3	7	W
29/05	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-1	0-1	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Shaanxi Union?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shaanxi Union win (44%). Probabilities: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 26%, draw 30%, Shaanxi Union 44%.

How many goals are expected in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Shaanxi Union?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 0.95 · Shaanxi Union 1.32), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Shaanxi Union?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.