Football · China Division 1 · 08/08, 14:00

Prediction: Dingnan Ganlian FC vs Dalian K'un City

Team pages: Dalian K'un City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Dingnan Ganlian FC1.7

Dalian K'un City1.52

1X2

41% 27% 33%

Dingnan Ganlian FC Draw Dalian K'un City

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Dingnan Ganlian FC 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

LDDLDLDLDL

Dalian K'un City 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLWLDD

Head-to-head

Dingnan Ganlian FC 1–1–1 Dalian K'un City (3 last)

Dalian K'un City1-1Dingnan Ganlian FC
Dingnan Ganlian FC2-1Dalian K'un City
Dalian K'un City2-1Dingnan Ganlian FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dingnan Ganlian FC 1433 · Dalian K'un City 1463

	Dingnan Ganlian FC	Draw	Dalian K'un City
Our model	41%	25%	33%
Market	40%	28%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dingnan Ganlian FC	Dalian K'un City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.9	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.3	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 7.2	2.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.20

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.36 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.32
2	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:35 +7’	2.25	3.20	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:35 +1’	2.36	3.32	2.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dingnan Ganlian FC 1–1–1 Dalian K'un City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 China Division 1	Dalian K'un City	1-1 HT 0-0	Dingnan Ganlian FC
25/10/25 China Division 1	Dingnan Ganlian FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Dalian K'un City
06/09/25 China Division 1	Dalian K'un City	2-1 HT 2-1	Dingnan Ganlian FC

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	17	11	4	2	31	16	37
2	Nantong Zhiyun	16	8	6	2	20	12	30
3	Shenzhen Juniors	17	8	5	4	27	21	29
4	Guangxi Hengchen	16	8	5	3	30	19	29
5	Yanbian Longding	17	7	8	2	24	14	29
6	Ningbo Professional FC	17	8	3	6	23	22	24
7	Shaanxi Union	16	6	5	5	24	14	23
8	Wuxi Wugo	16	6	5	5	28	18	23
9	Nanjing City	17	5	4	8	16	19	19
10	Changchun Yatai	16	7	2	7	25	30	19
11	Dalian K'un City	16	4	6	6	21	24	18
12	Dingnan Ganlian FC	17	3	9	5	26	34	18
13	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	17	2	6	9	10	21	12
14	Suzhou Dongwu	17	3	5	9	12	22	11
15	Foshan Nanshi	17	2	5	10	17	32	11
16	Meizhou Hakka	17	5	2	10	16	32	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dingnan Ganlian FC	Dalian K'un City
Guangxi Hengchen	4-4 D	1-3 L
Ningbo Professional FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Shenzhen Juniors	3-3 D	5-4 W
Meizhou Hakka	2-2 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Dingnan Ganlian FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dingnan Ganlian FC

LDDLDLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-3	1-5	5	0	L
26/07	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-2	4-4	0	4	D
18/07	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
12/07	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	2-0	3-3	9	0	D
04/07	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
28/06	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	2-2	3-3	10	7	D
13/06	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-2	1-3	7	3	L
30/05	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	2-1	2-2	7	3	D
23/05	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
17/05	Shanghai Zetian China FA Cup	1-1	2-4	14	3	L

Dalian K'un City

LLDLWLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	2-1	2-2	3	6	D
26/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
18/07	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-2	0-2	9	2	L
11/07	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-0	2-0	1	2	W
05/07	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-0	1-3	3	0	L
27/06	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	3-3	5-4	5	3	W
13/06	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	1-2	1-2	7	0	L
30/05	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
23/05	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
17/05	Jiangxi Lushan China FA Cup	0-2	0-2	8	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dingnan Ganlian FC vs Dalian K'un City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dingnan Ganlian FC win (41%). Probabilities: Dingnan Ganlian FC 41%, draw 27%, Dalian K'un City 33%.

How many goals are expected in Dingnan Ganlian FC vs Dalian K'un City?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Dingnan Ganlian FC 1.7 · Dalian K'un City 1.52), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dingnan Ganlian FC vs Dalian K'un City?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.