Football · China Division 1 · 08/08, 13:30

Prediction: Meizhou Hakka vs Foshan Nanshi

Team pages: Meizhou Hakka · Foshan Nanshi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Meizhou Hakka1.6
Foshan Nanshi1.04
1X2
50% 27% 24%
Meizhou Hakka Draw Foshan Nanshi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Meizhou Hakka 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWDDWLLWLL
Foshan Nanshi 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
LDDLLLLLLD
Head-to-head
Meizhou Hakka 1–0 Foshan Nanshi (1 last)
  • Foshan Nanshi0-1Meizhou Hakka
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Meizhou Hakka 1488 · Foshan Nanshi 1399
Meizhou HakkaDrawFoshan Nanshi
Our model49%27%23%
Market50%26%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Meizhou Hakka (rating 1488 vs 1399).
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Meizhou HakkaFoshan Nanshi
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.60.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 10.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.31.6 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 03.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Meizhou Hakka 100 Foshan Nanshi

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
China Division 1
Foshan Nanshi0-1
HT 0-0
Meizhou Hakka

Standings · China Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 171142 311637
2 Nantong Zhiyun 16862 201230
3 Shenzhen Juniors 17854 272129
4 Guangxi Hengchen 16853 301929
5 Yanbian Longding 17782 241429
6 Ningbo Professional FC 17836 232224
7 Shaanxi Union 16655 241423
8 Wuxi Wugo 16655 281823
9 Nanjing City 17548 161919
10 Changchun Yatai 16727 253019
11 Dalian K'un City 16466 212418
12 Dingnan Ganlian FC 17395 263418
13 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 17269 102112
14 Suzhou Dongwu 17359 122211
15 Foshan Nanshi 172510 173211
16 Meizhou Hakka 175210 16328

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMeizhou HakkaFoshan Nanshi
Yanbian Longding 1-2 L 0-2 L
Shaanxi Union 0-4 L 0-5 L
Nantong Zhiyun 3-1 W 1-2 L
Wuxi Wugo 1-1 D 0-2 L
Dingnan Ganlian FC 2-2 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Meizhou Hakka (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Meizhou Hakka

LWDDWLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Suzhou Dongwu
China Division 1
0-0 0-1 52 L
26/07 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
1-2 1-2 75 L
18/07 Dalian K'un City
China Division 1
2-0 2-0 72 W
11/07 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
0-1 0-4 51 L
05/07 Changchun Yatai
China Division 1
1-2 1-3 60 L
27/06 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
1-0 3-1 24 W
14/06 Wuxi Wugo
China Division 1
1-1 1-1 50 D
30/05 Dingnan Ganlian FC
China Division 1
1-2 2-2 63 D
24/05 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
China Division 1
1-0 1-0 25 W
16/05 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China FA Cup
0-2 1-2 83 L

Foshan Nanshi

LDDLLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Guangdong GZ-Power
China Division 1
0-1 1-1 33 D
25/07 Wuxi Wugo
China Division 1
0-0 0-2 94 L
17/07 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
1-1 1-2 42 L
13/07 Ningbo Professional FC
China Division 1
0-1 0-1 33 L
05/07 Nanjing City
China Division 1
0-3 1-3 22 L
27/06 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
0-2 0-2 36 L
14/06 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
0-2 0-5 37 L
30/05 Guangxi Hengchen
China Division 1
1-2 3-3 63 D
23/05 Dingnan Ganlian FC
China Division 1
1-0 1-1 33 D
15/05 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China FA Cup
0-0 0-1 02 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Meizhou Hakka vs Foshan Nanshi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Meizhou Hakka win (50%). Probabilities: Meizhou Hakka 50%, draw 27%, Foshan Nanshi 24%.

How many goals are expected in Meizhou Hakka vs Foshan Nanshi?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Meizhou Hakka 1.6 · Foshan Nanshi 1.04), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Meizhou Hakka vs Foshan Nanshi?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.