Football · China Division 1 · 15/08, 13:00

Prediction: Wuxi Wugo vs Guangdong GZ-Power

Team pages: Wuxi Wugo · Guangdong GZ-Power

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Wuxi Wugo1.08

Guangdong GZ-Power1.6

1X2

25% 27% 49%

Wuxi Wugo Draw Guangdong GZ-Power

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wuxi Wugo 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDDDLWWL

Guangdong GZ-Power 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWWWDW

Head-to-head

Wuxi Wugo 1–1 Guangdong GZ-Power (2 last)

Guangdong GZ-Power1-0Wuxi Wugo
Guangdong GZ-Power0-1Wuxi Wugo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wuxi Wugo 1531 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1555

	Wuxi Wugo	Draw	Guangdong GZ-Power
Our model	24%	27%	48%
Market	25%	26%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wuxi Wugo	Guangdong GZ-Power
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.2	1.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.8	2.5 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.40

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:41 +5’	3.60	3.40	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuxi Wugo 1–0–1 Guangdong GZ-Power

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 China Division 1	Guangdong GZ-Power	1-0 HT 1-0	Wuxi Wugo
18/05/24 China FA Cup	Guangdong GZ-Power	0-1 HT 0-0	Wuxi Wugo

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	18	12	4	2	33	16	40
2	Shenzhen Juniors	18	9	5	4	28	21	32
3	Nantong Zhiyun	17	8	7	2	21	13	31
4	Guangxi Hengchen	17	8	5	4	30	21	29
5	Yanbian Longding	18	7	8	3	24	15	29
6	Ningbo Professional FC	17	8	3	6	23	22	24
7	Shaanxi Union	17	6	5	6	25	16	23
8	Wuxi Wugo	16	6	5	5	28	18	23
9	Dingnan Ganlian FC	18	4	9	5	28	35	21
10	Nanjing City	18	5	5	8	17	20	20
11	Changchun Yatai	17	7	2	8	26	32	19
12	Dalian K'un City	17	4	6	7	22	26	18
13	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	18	3	6	9	12	22	15
14	Suzhou Dongwu	18	4	5	9	14	23	14
15	Meizhou Hakka	18	6	2	10	19	34	11
16	Foshan Nanshi	18	2	5	11	19	35	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wuxi Wugo	Guangdong GZ-Power
Shenzhen Juniors	0-1 L	0-0 D
Foshan Nanshi	2-0 W	1-1 D
Shaanxi Union	1-2 L	2-1 W
Dingnan Ganlian FC	3-3 D	3-1 W
Suzhou Dongwu	3-1 W	2-2 D
Nanjing City	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Guangdong GZ-Power (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Wuxi Wugo

WDWDDDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
25/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
17/07	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	2-0	5-1	2	1	W
04/07	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-0	1-2	1	3	L
28/06	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	2-2	3-3	5	7	D
20/06	Qingdao Hainiu China FA Cup	1-2	2-2	6	1	D
14/06	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-1	1-1	5	0	D
30/05	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-1	3-1	7	4	W
23/05	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
16/05	Guangzhou Dandelion China FA Cup	2-0	2-0	4	3	W

Guangdong GZ-Power

DWLWDWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
01/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
25/07	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
18/07	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
11/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
04/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	2-2	2	5	D
27/06	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-1	2-1	12	2	W
19/06	Beijing Guoan China FA Cup	0-1	1-2	1	5	L
13/06	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
29/05	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wuxi Wugo vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guangdong GZ-Power win (49%). Probabilities: Wuxi Wugo 25%, draw 27%, Guangdong GZ-Power 49%.

How many goals are expected in Wuxi Wugo vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Wuxi Wugo 1.08 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1.6), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Wuxi Wugo vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.