Football · China Division 1 · 22/08, 13:30

Prediction: Meizhou Hakka vs Guangdong GZ-Power

Team pages: Meizhou Hakka · Guangdong GZ-Power

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Meizhou Hakka0.89

Guangdong GZ-Power2

1X2

15% 23% 62%

Meizhou Hakka Draw Guangdong GZ-Power

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Meizhou Hakka 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DDWLLWLLWL

Guangdong GZ-Power 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLWDWWWDWW

Head-to-head

Meizhou Hakka 0–1 Guangdong GZ-Power (1 last)

Guangdong GZ-Power3-0Meizhou Hakka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Meizhou Hakka 1468 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1587

	Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Guangdong GZ-Power
Our model	15%	23%	62%
Market	15%	23%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guangdong GZ-Power (rating 1468 vs 1587).
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Meizhou Hakka	Guangdong GZ-Power
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	1.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5	2.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

16.00

X4.00

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.80

2 (-1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.01
2	1.44 → 1.44	Pinn 1.57 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:35 +6’	6.00	4.00	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:41	5.24	4.01	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Meizhou Hakka 0–0–1 Guangdong GZ-Power

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 China Division 1	Guangdong GZ-Power	3-0 HT 1-0	Meizhou Hakka

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	19	13	4	2	36	16	43
2	Shenzhen Juniors	19	9	6	4	28	21	33
3	Nantong Zhiyun	18	8	8	2	21	13	32
4	Guangxi Hengchen	18	9	5	4	31	21	32
5	Yanbian Longding	19	8	8	3	27	16	32
6	Shaanxi Union	18	7	5	6	27	17	26
7	Ningbo Professional FC	18	8	4	6	23	22	25
8	Wuxi Wugo	17	6	5	6	28	21	23
9	Dingnan Ganlian FC	19	4	10	5	29	36	22
10	Nanjing City	19	5	6	8	18	21	21
11	Changchun Yatai	18	7	2	9	27	34	19
12	Dalian K'un City	18	4	6	8	23	29	18
13	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	19	4	6	9	14	23	18
14	Suzhou Dongwu	19	4	6	9	14	23	15
15	Meizhou Hakka	19	6	2	11	19	35	11
16	Foshan Nanshi	19	2	5	12	20	37	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Meizhou Hakka	Guangdong GZ-Power
Guangxi Hengchen	0-1 L	2-0 W
Foshan Nanshi	3-2 W	1-1 D
Suzhou Dongwu	0-1 L	2-2 D
Shaanxi Union	0-4 L	2-1 W
Wuxi Wugo	1-1 D	3-0 W
Dingnan Ganlian FC	2-2 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Guangdong GZ-Power (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Meizhou Hakka

DDWLLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
08/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	3-2	4	5	W
02/08	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
26/07	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-2	1-2	7	5	L
18/07	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
11/07	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-1	0-4	5	1	L
05/07	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	1-2	1-3	6	0	L
27/06	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	1-0	3-1	2	4	W
14/06	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	1-1	1-1	5	0	D
30/05	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	1-2	2-2	6	3	D

Guangdong GZ-Power

WLWDWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	3-0	3-0	2	1	W
09/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
01/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
25/07	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
18/07	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
11/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
04/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	2-2	2	5	D
27/06	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-1	2-1	12	2	W
19/06	Beijing Guoan China FA Cup	0-1	1-2	1	5	L
13/06	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	2-0	3-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Meizhou Hakka vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guangdong GZ-Power win (62%). Probabilities: Meizhou Hakka 15%, draw 23%, Guangdong GZ-Power 62%.

How many goals are expected in Meizhou Hakka vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Meizhou Hakka 0.89 · Guangdong GZ-Power 2), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Meizhou Hakka vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.