Football · China Division 1 · 22/08, 13:30

Prediction: Nantong Zhiyun vs Shaanxi Union

Team pages: Nantong Zhiyun · Shaanxi Union

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Nantong Zhiyun1.36

Shaanxi Union0.91

1X2

47% 29% 24%

Nantong Zhiyun Draw Shaanxi Union

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nantong Zhiyun 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DDWLDWDWDD

Shaanxi Union 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWLLWDLW

Head-to-head

Nantong Zhiyun 0–2–1 Shaanxi Union (3 last)

Shaanxi Union0-0Nantong Zhiyun
Nantong Zhiyun1-1Shaanxi Union
Shaanxi Union3-2Nantong Zhiyun

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nantong Zhiyun 1524 · Shaanxi Union 1499

	Nantong Zhiyun	Draw	Shaanxi Union
Our model	46%	30%	24%
Market	47%	28%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nantong Zhiyun	Shaanxi Union
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.8	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.8	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.20

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 2.12 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:31 +10’	1.91	3.20	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:41	2.12	3.12	3.49

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantong Zhiyun 0–2–1 Shaanxi Union

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 China Division 1	Shaanxi Union	0-0 HT 0-0	Nantong Zhiyun
26/09/25 China Division 1	Nantong Zhiyun	1-1 HT 0-0	Shaanxi Union
17/05/25 China Division 1	Shaanxi Union	3-2 HT 0-2	Nantong Zhiyun

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	19	13	4	2	36	16	43
2	Shenzhen Juniors	19	9	6	4	28	21	33
3	Nantong Zhiyun	18	8	8	2	21	13	32
4	Guangxi Hengchen	18	9	5	4	31	21	32
5	Yanbian Longding	19	8	8	3	27	16	32
6	Shaanxi Union	18	7	5	6	27	17	26
7	Ningbo Professional FC	18	8	4	6	23	22	25
8	Wuxi Wugo	17	6	5	6	28	21	23
9	Dingnan Ganlian FC	19	4	10	5	29	36	22
10	Nanjing City	19	5	6	8	18	21	21
11	Changchun Yatai	18	7	2	9	27	34	19
12	Dalian K'un City	18	4	6	8	23	29	18
13	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	19	4	6	9	14	23	18
14	Suzhou Dongwu	19	4	6	9	14	23	15
15	Meizhou Hakka	19	6	2	11	19	35	11
16	Foshan Nanshi	19	2	5	12	20	37	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nantong Zhiyun	Shaanxi Union
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Shenzhen Juniors	0-0 D	3-0 W
Meizhou Hakka	1-3 L	4-0 W
Guangxi Hengchen	0-0 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Nantong Zhiyun

DDWLDWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
08/08	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-1	1-1	9	4	D
01/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	3-0	5-1	9	0	W
25/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
17/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-1	2-1	10	2	W
04/07	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
27/06	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-1	1-3	11	4	L
14/06	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
29/05	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	8	D
23/05	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	1	D

Shaanxi Union

DLWWLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	2-1	5	3	W
08/08	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-1	1-2	2	6	L
01/08	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	1-2	2-2	7	6	D
25/07	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	2-0	3-0	10	4	W
22/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China FA Cup	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
18/07	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
11/07	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-0	4-0	5	1	W
04/07	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-0	2-1	10	3	W
27/06	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	1-1	1-2	0	2	L
19/06	Zhejiang China FA Cup	1-0	1-1	1	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nantong Zhiyun vs Shaanxi Union?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantong Zhiyun win (47%). Probabilities: Nantong Zhiyun 47%, draw 29%, Shaanxi Union 24%.

How many goals are expected in Nantong Zhiyun vs Shaanxi Union?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Nantong Zhiyun 1.36 · Shaanxi Union 0.91), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nantong Zhiyun vs Shaanxi Union?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.