Prediction: Shenzhen Juniors vs Nanjing City
Team pages: Shenzhen Juniors · Nanjing City
- Nanjing City1-3Shenzhen Juniors
- Nanjing City3-0Shenzhen Juniors
- Shenzhen Juniors4-3Nanjing City
| Shenzhen Juniors | Draw | Nanjing City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shenzhen Juniors (rating 1509 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Shenzhen Juniors: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shenzhen Juniors | Nanjing City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.2 | 2.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shenzhen Juniors 2–0–1 Nanjing City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Shenzhen Juniors |
| 13/09/25 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Shenzhen Juniors |
| 03/05/25 China Division 1 | Shenzhen Juniors | 4-3 HT 3-0 | Nanjing City |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 46 |
| 2 | Nantong Zhiyun | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Yanbian Longding | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 35 |
| 4 | Guangxi Hengchen | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 33 |
| 5 | Shenzhen Juniors | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 21 | 33 |
| 6 | Shaanxi Union | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 26 |
| 7 | Ningbo Professional FC | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugo | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 23 |
| 9 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 38 | 22 |
| 10 | Dalian K'un City | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 30 | 21 |
| 11 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 21 |
| 12 | Nanjing City | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 21 | 21 |
| 13 | Changchun Yatai | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 34 | 19 |
| 14 | Suzhou Dongwu | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 16 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 40 | 11 |
| 16 | Foshan Nanshi | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shenzhen Juniors | Nanjing City |
|---|---|---|
| Ningbo Professional FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Yanbian Longding | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Shaanxi Union | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Dingnan Ganlian FC | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Nantong Zhiyun | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Dalian K'un City | 4-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Guangdong GZ-Power | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Shenzhen Juniors (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shenzhen Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/07 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
3-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Nanjing City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shenzhen Juniors vs Nanjing City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shenzhen Juniors win (46%). Probabilities: Shenzhen Juniors 46%, draw 28%, Nanjing City 26%.
How many goals are expected in Shenzhen Juniors vs Nanjing City?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Shenzhen Juniors 1.49 · Nanjing City 1.07), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Shenzhen Juniors vs Nanjing City?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.