Football · China Division 1 · 22/08, 13:00

Prediction: Dalian K'un City vs Wuxi Wugo

Team pages: Dalian K'un City · Wuxi Wugo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Dalian K'un City1.85

Wuxi Wugo1.3

1X2

49% 26% 25%

Dalian K'un City Draw Wuxi Wugo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Dalian K'un City 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLWLDDLL

Wuxi Wugo 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWDDDLWWLL

Head-to-head

Dalian K'un City 1–0 Wuxi Wugo (1 last)

Wuxi Wugo2-3Dalian K'un City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalian K'un City 1468 · Wuxi Wugo 1496

	Dalian K'un City	Draw	Wuxi Wugo
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	49%	26%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dalian K'un City	Wuxi Wugo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.6	1.3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.40

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.94 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.57
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:17 +23’	1.85	3.40	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:39 +1’	1.94	3.57	3.52

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian K'un City 1–0–0 Wuxi Wugo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 China Division 1	Wuxi Wugo	2-3 HT 2-3	Dalian K'un City

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	19	13	4	2	36	16	43
2	Shenzhen Juniors	19	9	6	4	28	21	33
3	Nantong Zhiyun	18	8	8	2	21	13	32
4	Guangxi Hengchen	18	9	5	4	31	21	32
5	Yanbian Longding	19	8	8	3	27	16	32
6	Shaanxi Union	18	7	5	6	27	17	26
7	Ningbo Professional FC	18	8	4	6	23	22	25
8	Wuxi Wugo	17	6	5	6	28	21	23
9	Dingnan Ganlian FC	19	4	10	5	29	36	22
10	Nanjing City	19	5	6	8	18	21	21
11	Changchun Yatai	18	7	2	9	27	34	19
12	Dalian K'un City	18	4	6	8	23	29	18
13	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	19	4	6	9	14	23	18
14	Suzhou Dongwu	19	4	6	9	14	23	15
15	Meizhou Hakka	19	6	2	11	19	35	11
16	Foshan Nanshi	19	2	5	12	20	37	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dalian K'un City	Wuxi Wugo
Dingnan Ganlian FC	1-2 L	3-3 D
Shaanxi Union	2-2 D	1-2 L
Suzhou Dongwu	0-0 D	3-1 W
Meizhou Hakka	0-2 L	1-1 D
Nanjing City	2-0 W	1-1 D
Shenzhen Juniors	5-4 W	0-1 L
Changchun Yatai	1-2 L	5-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Wuxi Wugo (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dalian K'un City

DLWLWLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-1	1-3	10	5	L
08/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-2	1-2	11	1	L
01/08	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	2-1	2-2	3	6	D
26/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
18/07	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-2	0-2	9	2	L
11/07	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-0	2-0	1	2	W
05/07	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-0	1-3	3	0	L
27/06	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	3-3	5-4	5	3	W
13/06	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	1-2	1-2	7	0	L
30/05	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	6	2	D

Wuxi Wugo

DWDDDLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-3	0-3	3	1	L
02/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
25/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
17/07	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	2-0	5-1	2	1	W
04/07	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-0	1-2	1	3	L
28/06	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	2-2	3-3	5	7	D
20/06	Qingdao Hainiu China FA Cup	1-2	2-2	6	1	D
14/06	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-1	1-1	5	0	D
30/05	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-1	3-1	7	4	W
23/05	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalian K'un City vs Wuxi Wugo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian K'un City win (49%). Probabilities: Dalian K'un City 49%, draw 26%, Wuxi Wugo 25%.

How many goals are expected in Dalian K'un City vs Wuxi Wugo?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Dalian K'un City 1.85 · Wuxi Wugo 1.3), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dalian K'un City vs Wuxi Wugo?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.