Football · China Division 1 · 30/08, 13:00

Prediction: Ningbo Professional FC vs Meizhou Hakka

Team pages: Ningbo Professional FC · Meizhou Hakka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Ningbo Professional FC1.7

Meizhou Hakka1.14

1X2

49% 27% 24%

Ningbo Professional FC Draw Meizhou Hakka

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Ningbo Professional FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWLLDL

Meizhou Hakka 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DWLLWLLWLL

Head-to-head

Ningbo Professional FC 1–0 Meizhou Hakka (1 last)

Meizhou Hakka0-3Ningbo Professional FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ningbo Professional FC 1506 · Meizhou Hakka 1450

	Ningbo Professional FC	Draw	Meizhou Hakka
Our model	49%	26%	24%
Market	48%	28%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ningbo Professional FC (rating 1506 vs 1450).
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ningbo Professional FC	Meizhou Hakka
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5	2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.20

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.85▲	Pinn 1.95 ★
X	3.40 → 3.20▼	Pinn 3.34
2	4.00 → 3.80▼	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:40 +9’	1.75	3.40	4.00
05:59 +5’	1.85▲	3.20▼	3.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:48 +1’	1.95	3.34	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ningbo Professional FC 1–0–0 Meizhou Hakka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 China Division 1	Meizhou Hakka	0-3 HT 0-2	Ningbo Professional FC

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	20	14	4	2	41	17	46
2	Shenzhen Juniors	20	10	6	4	31	22	36
3	Nantong Zhiyun	19	9	8	2	25	14	35
4	Yanbian Longding	20	9	8	3	30	18	35
5	Guangxi Hengchen	19	9	6	4	34	24	33
6	Shaanxi Union	19	7	5	7	28	21	26
7	Ningbo Professional FC	19	8	4	7	25	25	25
8	Wuxi Wugo	18	6	5	7	29	23	23
9	Changchun Yatai	19	8	2	9	33	34	22
10	Dingnan Jiangxi United	20	4	10	6	30	38	22
11	Dalian K'un City	19	5	6	8	25	30	21
12	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	20	5	6	9	16	24	21
13	Nanjing City	20	5	6	9	19	24	21
14	Suzhou Dongwu	20	4	7	9	17	26	16
15	Meizhou Hakka	20	6	2	12	20	40	11
16	Foshan Nanshi	20	2	5	13	20	43	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ningbo Professional FC	Meizhou Hakka
Yanbian Longding	2-3 L	1-2 L
Guangxi Hengchen	2-4 L	0-1 L
Guangdong GZ-Power	1-2 L	1-5 L
Foshan Nanshi	1-0 W	3-2 W
Suzhou Dongwu	2-1 W	0-1 L
Nantong Zhiyun	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ningbo Professional FC

DWWWWWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-1	2-3	7	5	L
16/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
01/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-1	2-4	8	5	L
25/07	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-0	1-2	8	2	L
18/07	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
13/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
04/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
28/06	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
13/06	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
29/05	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-1	1-1	3	8	D

Meizhou Hakka

DWLLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-2	1-5	5	2	L
15/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
08/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	3-2	4	5	W
02/08	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
26/07	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-2	1-2	7	5	L
18/07	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
11/07	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-1	0-4	5	1	L
05/07	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	1-2	1-3	6	0	L
27/06	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	1-0	3-1	2	4	W
14/06	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	1-1	1-1	5	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ningbo Professional FC vs Meizhou Hakka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ningbo Professional FC win (49%). Probabilities: Ningbo Professional FC 49%, draw 27%, Meizhou Hakka 24%.

How many goals are expected in Ningbo Professional FC vs Meizhou Hakka?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Ningbo Professional FC 1.7 · Meizhou Hakka 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ningbo Professional FC vs Meizhou Hakka?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.