Football · China Division 1 · 30/08, 13:00

Prediction: Dalian K'un City vs Nantong Zhiyun

Team pages: Dalian K'un City · Nantong Zhiyun

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Dalian K'un City1.11

Nantong Zhiyun1.48

1X2

27% 28% 45%

Dalian K'un City Draw Nantong Zhiyun

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Dalian K'un City 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLDDLLW

Nantong Zhiyun 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWLDWDWDDW

Head-to-head

Dalian K'un City 0–1–2 Nantong Zhiyun (3 last)

Nantong Zhiyun1-0Dalian K'un City
Nantong Zhiyun2-0Dalian K'un City
Dalian K'un City1-1Nantong Zhiyun

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalian K'un City 1464 · Nantong Zhiyun 1543

	Dalian K'un City	Draw	Nantong Zhiyun
Our model	27%	28%	44%
Market	28%	28%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantong Zhiyun (rating 1464 vs 1543).
H2H favours Nantong Zhiyun: 2-1-0.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dalian K'un City	Nantong Zhiyun
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	1.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.3	3.8 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.25

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.02

2 (-0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.80 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:39 +10’	3.25	3.25	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:28 +1’	3.80	3.25	1.97

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian K'un City 0–1–2 Nantong Zhiyun

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 China Division 1	Nantong Zhiyun	1-0 HT 1-0	Dalian K'un City
16/08/25 China Division 1	Nantong Zhiyun	2-0 HT 2-0	Dalian K'un City
26/04/25 China Division 1	Dalian K'un City	1-1 HT 0-1	Nantong Zhiyun

Standings · China Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	20	14	4	2	41	17	46
2	Shenzhen Juniors	20	10	6	4	31	22	36
3	Nantong Zhiyun	19	9	8	2	25	14	35
4	Yanbian Longding	20	9	8	3	30	18	35
5	Guangxi Hengchen	19	9	6	4	34	24	33
6	Shaanxi Union	19	7	5	7	28	21	26
7	Ningbo Professional FC	19	8	4	7	25	25	25
8	Wuxi Wugo	18	6	5	7	29	23	23
9	Changchun Yatai	19	8	2	9	33	34	22
10	Dingnan Jiangxi United	20	4	10	6	30	38	22
11	Dalian K'un City	19	5	6	8	25	30	21
12	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	20	5	6	9	16	24	21
13	Nanjing City	20	5	6	9	19	24	21
14	Suzhou Dongwu	20	4	7	9	17	26	16
15	Meizhou Hakka	20	6	2	12	20	40	11
16	Foshan Nanshi	20	2	5	13	20	43	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dalian K'un City	Nantong Zhiyun
Yanbian Longding	1-3 L	2-0 W
Dingnan Ganlian FC	1-2 L	5-1 W
Shaanxi Union	2-2 D	4-1 W
Suzhou Dongwu	0-0 D	0-0 D
Meizhou Hakka	0-2 L	1-3 L
Nanjing City	2-0 W	1-1 D
Shenzhen Juniors	5-4 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nantong Zhiyun (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dalian K'un City

LWLWLDDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
15/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-1	1-3	10	5	L
08/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-2	1-2	11	1	L
01/08	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	2-1	2-2	3	6	D
26/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
18/07	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-2	0-2	9	2	L
11/07	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-0	2-0	1	2	W
05/07	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-0	1-3	3	0	L
27/06	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	3-3	5-4	5	3	W
13/06	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	1-2	1-2	7	0	L

Nantong Zhiyun

DWLDWDWDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	3-1	4-1	7	5	W
16/08	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
08/08	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-1	1-1	9	4	D
01/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	3-0	5-1	9	0	W
25/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
17/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-1	2-1	10	2	W
04/07	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
27/06	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-1	1-3	11	4	L
14/06	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
29/05	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalian K'un City vs Nantong Zhiyun?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nantong Zhiyun win (45%). Probabilities: Dalian K'un City 27%, draw 28%, Nantong Zhiyun 45%.

How many goals are expected in Dalian K'un City vs Nantong Zhiyun?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Dalian K'un City 1.11 · Nantong Zhiyun 1.48), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Dalian K'un City vs Nantong Zhiyun?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.