Football · China Division 1 · 29/08, 13:30

Prediction: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Wuxi Wugo

Team pages: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC · Wuxi Wugo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC1.25

Wuxi Wugo1.2

1X2

37% 29% 34%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC Draw Wuxi Wugo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWLLDDDWWW

Wuxi Wugo 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDDLWWLLL

Head-to-head

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 2–2–1 Wuxi Wugo (5 last)

Wuxi Wugo0-0Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC2-4Wuxi Wugo
Wuxi Wugo0-0Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Wuxi Wugo1-2Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC4-0Wuxi Wugo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1514 · Wuxi Wugo 1490

	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	Draw	Wuxi Wugo
Our model	36%	30%	34%
Market	37%	29%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	Wuxi Wugo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 2.7	1.4 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.10

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.45▲	Pinn 2.50
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.50 ★
2	3.00 → 2.63▼	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:08 +7’	2.20	3.10	3.00
03:43 +11’	2.45▲	3.10	2.63▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:53 +2’	2.50	3.50	2.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 2–2–1 Wuxi Wugo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 China Division 1	Wuxi Wugo	0-0 HT 0-0	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
06/07/24 China Division 1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	2-4 HT 2-1	Wuxi Wugo
10/03/24 China Division 1	Wuxi Wugo	0-0 HT 0-0	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
09/09/23 China Division 1	Wuxi Wugo	1-2 HT 1-1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
28/05/23 China Division 1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	4-0 HT 4-0	Wuxi Wugo

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	20	14	4	2	41	17	46
2	Shenzhen Juniors	20	10	6	4	31	22	36
3	Nantong Zhiyun	19	9	8	2	25	14	35
4	Yanbian Longding	20	9	8	3	30	18	35
5	Guangxi Hengchen	19	9	6	4	34	24	33
6	Shaanxi Union	19	7	5	7	28	21	26
7	Ningbo Professional FC	19	8	4	7	25	25	25
8	Wuxi Wugo	18	6	5	7	29	23	23
9	Changchun Yatai	19	8	2	9	33	34	22
10	Dingnan Jiangxi United	20	4	10	6	30	38	22
11	Dalian K'un City	19	5	6	8	25	30	21
12	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	20	5	6	9	16	24	21
13	Nanjing City	20	5	6	9	19	24	21
14	Suzhou Dongwu	20	4	7	9	17	26	16
15	Meizhou Hakka	20	6	2	12	20	40	11
16	Foshan Nanshi	20	2	5	13	20	43	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	Wuxi Wugo
Foshan Nanshi	2-1 W	2-0 W
Shaanxi Union	2-1 W	1-2 L
Changchun Yatai	2-2 D	5-1 W
Guangdong GZ-Power	0-2 L	0-3 L
Nanjing City	2-1 W	1-1 D
Suzhou Dongwu	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

DWLLDDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1	2-1	2-1	2	5	W
16/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-0	2-1	0	6	W
08/08	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
02/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	1-0	2-2	4	3	D
25/07	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
17/07	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-0	0-0	6	9	D
11/07	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-0	0-2	1	3	L
04/07	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-0	1-2	0	4	L
27/06	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
13/06	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	1-0	1-1	4	5	D

Wuxi Wugo

DWDDLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
15/08	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-3	0-3	3	1	L
02/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
25/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
17/07	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	2-0	5-1	2	1	W
04/07	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-0	1-2	1	3	L
28/06	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	2-2	3-3	5	7	D
14/06	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-1	1-1	5	0	D
30/05	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-1	3-1	7	4	W
23/05	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Wuxi Wugo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC win (37%). Probabilities: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 37%, draw 29%, Wuxi Wugo 34%.

How many goals are expected in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Wuxi Wugo?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1.25 · Wuxi Wugo 1.2), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Wuxi Wugo?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.