Football · China Division 1 · 22/08, 13:00

Prediction: Ningbo Professional FC vs Yanbian Longding

Team pages: Ningbo Professional FC · Yanbian Longding

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.1Total

Ningbo Professional FC1.19

Yanbian Longding0.92

1X2

41% 31% 28%

Ningbo Professional FC Draw Yanbian Longding

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ningbo Professional FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWWLLD

Yanbian Longding 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWWDWDLW

Head-to-head

Ningbo Professional FC 0–4–2 Yanbian Longding (6 last)

Yanbian Longding0-0Ningbo Professional FC
Yanbian Longding1-0Ningbo Professional FC
Ningbo Professional FC0-0Yanbian Longding
Yanbian Longding1-1Ningbo Professional FC
Ningbo Professional FC0-0Yanbian Longding
Yanbian Longding3-0Ningbo Professional FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ningbo Professional FC 1503 · Yanbian Longding 1532

	Ningbo Professional FC	Draw	Yanbian Longding
Our model	41%	32%	27%
Market	42%	30%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Yanbian Longding: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ningbo Professional FC	Yanbian Longding
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	1.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.6	1.6 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	5.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.05

Under 2.251.75

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.34 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.23

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:25 +15’	2.15	3.00	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:56 +6’	2.34	2.94	3.23

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ningbo Professional FC 0–4–2 Yanbian Longding

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 China Division 1	Yanbian Longding	0-0 HT 0-0	Ningbo Professional FC
13/09/25 China Division 1	Yanbian Longding	1-0 HT 0-0	Ningbo Professional FC
04/05/25 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Yanbian Longding
18/08/24 China Division 1	Yanbian Longding	1-1 HT 0-0	Ningbo Professional FC
30/03/24 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Yanbian Longding
28/10/23 China Division 1	Yanbian Longding	3-0 HT 1-0	Ningbo Professional FC

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	19	13	4	2	36	16	43
2	Shenzhen Juniors	19	9	6	4	28	21	33
3	Nantong Zhiyun	18	8	8	2	21	13	32
4	Guangxi Hengchen	18	9	5	4	31	21	32
5	Yanbian Longding	19	8	8	3	27	16	32
6	Shaanxi Union	18	7	5	6	27	17	26
7	Ningbo Professional FC	18	8	4	6	23	22	25
8	Wuxi Wugo	17	6	5	6	28	21	23
9	Dingnan Ganlian FC	19	4	10	5	29	36	22
10	Nanjing City	19	5	6	8	18	21	21
11	Changchun Yatai	18	7	2	9	27	34	19
12	Dalian K'un City	18	4	6	8	23	29	18
13	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	19	4	6	9	14	23	18
14	Suzhou Dongwu	19	4	6	9	14	23	15
15	Meizhou Hakka	19	6	2	11	19	35	11
16	Foshan Nanshi	19	2	5	12	20	37	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ningbo Professional FC	Yanbian Longding
Shenzhen Juniors	0-0 D	0-1 L
Dingnan Ganlian FC	1-0 W	3-0 W
Foshan Nanshi	1-0 W	2-0 W
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	2-1 W	0-0 D
Suzhou Dongwu	2-1 W	3-1 W
Nanjing City	2-1 W	1-1 D
Nantong Zhiyun	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ningbo Professional FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Ningbo Professional FC

DWLWWWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
01/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-1	2-4	8	5	L
25/07	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-0	1-2	8	2	L
18/07	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
13/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
04/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
28/06	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
20/06	Chongqing Tonglianglong China FA Cup	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
13/06	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
29/05	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-1	1-1	3	8	D

Yanbian Longding

DLWWWDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	1-0	3-1	0	5	W
09/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
01/08	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
26/07	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	2-1	2-1	4	5	W
17/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
11/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-1	3-1	4	4	W
04/07	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
27/06	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-0	2-0	3	6	W
14/06	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-1	0-2	1	5	L
30/05	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	1-1	2-2	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ningbo Professional FC vs Yanbian Longding?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ningbo Professional FC win (41%). Probabilities: Ningbo Professional FC 41%, draw 31%, Yanbian Longding 28%.

How many goals are expected in Ningbo Professional FC vs Yanbian Longding?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Ningbo Professional FC 1.19 · Yanbian Longding 0.92), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ningbo Professional FC vs Yanbian Longding?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.