Football · China Division 1 · 29/08, 13:00
Prediction: Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding
Team pages: Shaanxi Union · Yanbian Longding
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Shaanxi Union1.52
Yanbian Longding0.97
1X2
Shaanxi Union
Draw
Yanbian Longding
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Shaanxi Union
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Yanbian Longding
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shaanxi Union
0–1–2
Yanbian Longding
(3 last)
- Yanbian Longding0-0Shaanxi Union
- Shaanxi Union0-1Yanbian Longding
- Yanbian Longding2-0Shaanxi Union
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shaanxi Union 1495 · Yanbian Longding 1552
| Shaanxi Union | Draw | Yanbian Longding | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanbian Longding (rating 1495 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Yanbian Longding: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shaanxi Union | Yanbian Longding | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shaanxi Union 0–1–2 Yanbian Longding
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 China Division 1 | Yanbian Longding | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shaanxi Union |
| 20/09/25 China Division 1 | Shaanxi Union | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Yanbian Longding |
| 11/05/25 China Division 1 | Yanbian Longding | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Shaanxi Union |
Standings · China Division 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 46 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 22 | 36 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 35 |
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 35 |
| 5 | Guangxi Hengchen | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 33 |
| 6 | Shaanxi Union | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 26 |
| 7 | Ningbo Professional FC | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugo | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 23 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 22 |
| 10 | Dingnan Jiangxi United | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 38 | 22 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 30 | 21 |
| 12 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 21 |
| 13 | Nanjing City | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 21 |
| 14 | Suzhou Dongwu | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 16 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 40 | 11 |
| 16 | Foshan Nanshi | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 43 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shaanxi Union | Yanbian Longding |
|---|---|---|
| Nantong Zhiyun | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Dalian K'un City | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Shenzhen Juniors | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Meizhou Hakka | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Foshan Nanshi | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shaanxi Union
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Yanbian Longding
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 11/07 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shaanxi Union win (50%). Probabilities: Shaanxi Union 50%, draw 27%, Yanbian Longding 23%.
How many goals are expected in Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Shaanxi Union 1.52 · Yanbian Longding 0.97), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.