Football · China Division 1 · 06/09, 13:00
Prediction: Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City
Team pages: Suzhou Dongwu · Nanjing City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Suzhou Dongwu1.37
Nanjing City0.94
1X2
Suzhou Dongwu
Draw
Nanjing City
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Suzhou Dongwu
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Nanjing City
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Suzhou Dongwu
3–1–2
Nanjing City
(6 last)
- Nanjing City1-0Suzhou Dongwu
- Suzhou Dongwu1-0Nanjing City
- Nanjing City2-1Suzhou Dongwu
- Nanjing City0-1Suzhou Dongwu
- Suzhou Dongwu0-0Nanjing City
- Suzhou Dongwu2-1Nanjing City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Suzhou Dongwu 1500 · Nanjing City 1431
| Suzhou Dongwu | Draw | Nanjing City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 30% | 24% |
| Market | 46% | 29% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suzhou Dongwu (rating 1500 vs 1431).
- H2H favours Suzhou Dongwu: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suzhou Dongwu | Nanjing City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Suzhou Dongwu 3–1–2 Nanjing City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Suzhou Dongwu |
| 27/09/25 China Division 1 | Suzhou Dongwu | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nanjing City |
| 16/05/25 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Suzhou Dongwu |
| 24/11/24 World Club Friendlies | Nanjing City | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Suzhou Dongwu |
| 17/11/24 World Club Friendlies | Suzhou Dongwu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nanjing City |
| 08/09/24 China Division 1 | Suzhou Dongwu | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Nanjing City |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 44 | 17 | 49 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 33 | 23 | 39 |
| 3 | Guangxi Hengchen | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 24 | 36 |
| 4 | Nantong Zhiyun | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 17 | 35 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 35 |
| 6 | Shaanxi Union | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 22 | 29 |
| 7 | Ningbo Professional FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
| 8 | Dalian K'un City | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 24 |
| 9 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 24 |
| 10 | Wuxi Wugo | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 23 |
| 11 | Changchun Yatai | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 22 |
| 12 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 42 | 22 |
| 13 | Nanjing City | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 21 |
| 14 | Suzhou Dongwu | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 19 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 41 | 12 |
| 16 | Foshan Nanshi | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 45 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Suzhou Dongwu | Nanjing City |
|---|---|---|
| Dingnan Ganlian FC | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Guangxi Hengchen | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| Nantong Zhiyun | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Changchun Yatai | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Dalian K'un City | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Shenzhen Juniors | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Yanbian Longding | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Guangdong GZ-Power | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 5 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Suzhou Dongwu (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suzhou Dongwu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
1-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/07 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
Nanjing City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 16/08 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Suzhou Dongwu win (46%). Probabilities: Suzhou Dongwu 46%, draw 29%, Nanjing City 25%.
How many goals are expected in Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Suzhou Dongwu 1.37 · Nanjing City 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.