Football · China Division 1 · 06/09, 13:00

Prediction: Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Hakka

Team pages: Shenzhen Juniors · Meizhou Hakka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Shenzhen Juniors2.16

Meizhou Hakka0.95

1X2

64% 22% 14%

Shenzhen Juniors Draw Meizhou Hakka

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Shenzhen Juniors 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDDDLWWDWW

Meizhou Hakka 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWLLD

Head-to-head

Shenzhen Juniors 1–0 Meizhou Hakka (1 last)

Meizhou Hakka1-4Shenzhen Juniors

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shenzhen Juniors 1537 · Meizhou Hakka 1453

	Shenzhen Juniors	Draw	Meizhou Hakka
Our model	64%	21%	15%
Market	64%	22%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shenzhen Juniors (rating 1537 vs 1453).
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shenzhen Juniors	Meizhou Hakka
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.7	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.10

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.20 → 4.10▼	Pinn 4.60
2	6.00 → 6.25▲	Pinn 7.18 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:46 +6’	1.40	4.20	6.00
06:46 +9’	1.40	4.10▼	6.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:38	1.38	4.64	7.19
21:00 +5’	1.39▲	4.60▼	7.18▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shenzhen Juniors 1–0–0 Meizhou Hakka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 China Division 1	Meizhou Hakka	1-4 HT 1-2	Shenzhen Juniors

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	21	15	4	2	44	17	49
2	Shenzhen Juniors	21	11	6	4	33	23	39
3	Guangxi Hengchen	20	10	6	4	36	24	36
4	Nantong Zhiyun	20	9	8	3	27	17	35
5	Yanbian Longding	21	9	8	4	31	21	35
6	Shaanxi Union	20	8	5	7	31	22	29
7	Ningbo Professional FC	20	8	5	7	26	26	26
8	Dalian K'un City	20	6	6	8	28	32	24
9	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	21	6	6	9	18	24	24
10	Wuxi Wugo	19	6	5	8	29	25	23
11	Changchun Yatai	20	8	2	10	33	37	22
12	Dingnan Ganlian FC	21	4	10	7	33	42	22
13	Nanjing City	21	5	6	10	19	26	21
14	Suzhou Dongwu	21	5	7	9	21	29	19
15	Meizhou Hakka	21	6	3	12	21	41	12
16	Foshan Nanshi	21	2	5	14	21	45	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shenzhen Juniors	Meizhou Hakka
Foshan Nanshi	2-1 W	3-2 W
Ningbo Professional FC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Yanbian Longding	1-0 W	1-2 L
Shaanxi Union	0-3 L	0-4 L
Suzhou Dongwu	0-0 D	0-1 L
Nantong Zhiyun	0-0 D	3-1 W
Dalian K'un City	4-5 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Shenzhen Juniors (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shenzhen Juniors

LDDDLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
23/08	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	3-1	7	8	W
16/08	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
09/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
02/08	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
25/07	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
17/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
12/07	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-2	3-3	9	2	D
04/07	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
27/06	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	3-3	4-5	6	3	L

Meizhou Hakka

WLLWLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
22/08	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-2	1-5	5	2	L
15/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
08/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	3-2	4	5	W
02/08	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
26/07	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-2	1-2	7	5	L
18/07	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
11/07	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-1	0-4	5	1	L
05/07	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	1-2	1-3	6	0	L
27/06	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	1-0	3-1	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Hakka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shenzhen Juniors win (64%). Probabilities: Shenzhen Juniors 64%, draw 22%, Meizhou Hakka 14%.

How many goals are expected in Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Hakka?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Shenzhen Juniors 2.16 · Meizhou Hakka 0.95), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Shenzhen Juniors vs Meizhou Hakka?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.