Football · China Division 1 · 05/09, 13:30

Prediction: Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangdong GZ-Power

Team pages: Nantong Zhiyun · Guangdong GZ-Power

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Nantong Zhiyun1.29

Guangdong GZ-Power1.46

1X2

32% 28% 40%

Nantong Zhiyun Draw Guangdong GZ-Power

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Nantong Zhiyun 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWDWDDWL

Guangdong GZ-Power 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWWWW

Head-to-head

Nantong Zhiyun 0–3 Guangdong GZ-Power (3 last)

Guangdong GZ-Power3-1Nantong Zhiyun
Guangdong GZ-Power3-1Nantong Zhiyun
Nantong Zhiyun0-1Guangdong GZ-Power

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nantong Zhiyun 1506 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1621

	Nantong Zhiyun	Draw	Guangdong GZ-Power
Our model	32%	28%	40%
Market	32%	28%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guangdong GZ-Power (rating 1506 vs 1621).
H2H favours Guangdong GZ-Power: 3-0-0.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nantong Zhiyun	Guangdong GZ-Power
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.1	2.3 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 7.3	2.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.20

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.81
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.51 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:59 +8’	2.80	3.20	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:53 +1’	2.81	3.08	2.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantong Zhiyun 0–0–3 Guangdong GZ-Power

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 China Division 1	Guangdong GZ-Power	3-1 HT 2-0	Nantong Zhiyun
08/11/25 China Division 1	Guangdong GZ-Power	3-1 HT 0-0	Nantong Zhiyun
06/07/25 China Division 1	Nantong Zhiyun	0-1 HT 0-0	Guangdong GZ-Power

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	21	15	4	2	44	17	49
2	Shenzhen Juniors	21	11	6	4	33	23	39
3	Guangxi Hengchen	20	10	6	4	36	24	36
4	Nantong Zhiyun	20	9	8	3	27	17	35
5	Yanbian Longding	21	9	8	4	31	21	35
6	Shaanxi Union	20	8	5	7	31	22	29
7	Ningbo Professional FC	20	8	5	7	26	26	26
8	Dalian K'un City	20	6	6	8	28	32	24
9	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	21	6	6	9	18	24	24
10	Wuxi Wugo	19	6	5	8	29	25	23
11	Changchun Yatai	20	8	2	10	33	37	22
12	Dingnan Jiangxi United	21	4	10	7	33	42	22
13	Nanjing City	21	5	6	10	19	26	21
14	Suzhou Dongwu	21	5	7	9	21	29	19
15	Meizhou Hakka	21	6	3	12	21	41	12
16	Foshan Nanshi	21	2	5	14	21	45	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nantong Zhiyun	Guangdong GZ-Power
Shaanxi Union	4-1 W	2-1 W
Suzhou Dongwu	0-0 D	2-2 D
Nanjing City	1-1 D	1-0 W
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Foshan Nanshi	2-1 W	1-1 D
Meizhou Hakka	1-3 L	5-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Guangdong GZ-Power (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nantong Zhiyun

WLDWDWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-2	2-3	9	5	L
22/08	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	3-1	4-1	7	5	W
16/08	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
08/08	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-1	1-1	9	4	D
01/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	3-0	5-1	9	0	W
25/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
17/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-1	2-1	10	2	W
04/07	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
27/06	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-1	1-3	11	4	L
14/06	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-0	2-0	7	5	W

Guangdong GZ-Power

WDWWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	2-0	3-0	7	6	W
22/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	2-0	5-1	3	2	W
15/08	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	3-0	3-0	2	1	W
09/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
01/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
25/07	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
18/07	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
11/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
04/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	2-2	2	5	D
27/06	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-1	2-1	12	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guangdong GZ-Power win (40%). Probabilities: Nantong Zhiyun 32%, draw 28%, Guangdong GZ-Power 40%.

How many goals are expected in Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Nantong Zhiyun 1.29 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1.46), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.