Football · China Division 1 · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: Ningbo Professional FC vs Shaanxi Union

Team pages: Ningbo Professional FC · Shaanxi Union

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Ningbo Professional FC1.28

Shaanxi Union1.5

1X2

31% 28% 41%

Ningbo Professional FC Draw Shaanxi Union

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Ningbo Professional FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Shaanxi Union 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Ningbo Professional FC 0–1–2 Shaanxi Union (3 last)

Shaanxi Union1-1Ningbo Professional FC
Shaanxi Union3-1Ningbo Professional FC
Ningbo Professional FC2-4Shaanxi Union

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ningbo Professional FC 1477 · Shaanxi Union 1527

	Ningbo Professional FC	Draw	Shaanxi Union
Our model	31%	28%	41%
Market	31%	28%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shaanxi Union (rating 1477 vs 1527).
H2H favours Shaanxi Union: 2-1-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ningbo Professional FC	Shaanxi Union
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 5.4	2.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.20

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 3.18 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.30
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
04:06 +9’	2.90	3.20	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:53 +22’	3.26	3.34	2.12
06:07 +5’	3.18▼	3.30▼	2.17▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ningbo Professional FC 0–1–2 Shaanxi Union

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 China Division 1	Shaanxi Union	1-1 HT 0-0	Ningbo Professional FC
05/10/25 China Division 1	Shaanxi Union	3-1 HT 1-1	Ningbo Professional FC
25/05/25 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	2-4 HT 0-3	Shaanxi Union

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	22	15	5	2	45	18	50
2	Shenzhen Juniors	22	12	6	4	38	24	42
3	Guangxi Hengchen	21	10	6	5	36	25	36
4	Nantong Zhiyun	21	9	9	3	28	18	36
5	Yanbian Longding	22	9	8	5	31	23	35
6	Shaanxi Union	21	9	5	7	33	23	32
7	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	22	7	6	9	19	24	27
8	Wuxi Wugo	20	7	5	8	31	25	26
9	Ningbo Professional FC	21	8	5	8	26	28	26
10	Changchun Yatai	21	9	2	10	35	37	25
11	Dalian K'un City	21	6	7	8	28	32	25
12	Suzhou Dongwu	22	6	7	9	23	29	22
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	22	4	10	8	34	44	22
14	Nanjing City	22	5	6	11	19	28	21
15	Meizhou Hakka	22	6	3	13	22	46	12
16	Foshan Nanshi	22	2	6	14	21	45	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ningbo Professional FC	Shaanxi Union
Changchun Yatai	0-2 L	2-1 W
Meizhou Hakka	1-1 D	4-0 W
Yanbian Longding	2-3 L	3-1 W
Shenzhen Juniors	0-0 D	3-0 W
Guangxi Hengchen	2-4 L	0-3 L
Dingnan Ganlian FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Shaanxi Union (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ningbo Professional FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
30/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
22/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-1	2-3	7	5	L
16/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
01/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-1	2-4	8	5	L
25/07	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-0	1-2	8	2	L
18/07	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
13/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
04/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
28/06	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-0	2-1	1	4	W

Shaanxi Union

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	2-1	8	1	W
29/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
22/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	1-3	1-4	2	5	L
14/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	2-1	5	3	W
08/08	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-1	1-2	2	6	L
01/08	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	1-2	2-2	7	6	D
25/07	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	2-0	3-0	10	4	W
18/07	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
11/07	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-0	4-0	5	1	W
04/07	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-0	2-1	10	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ningbo Professional FC vs Shaanxi Union?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shaanxi Union win (41%). Probabilities: Ningbo Professional FC 31%, draw 28%, Shaanxi Union 41%.

How many goals are expected in Ningbo Professional FC vs Shaanxi Union?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Ningbo Professional FC 1.28 · Shaanxi Union 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ningbo Professional FC vs Shaanxi Union?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.