Football · China Division 1 · 19/09, 13:00

Prediction: Shaanxi Union vs Suzhou Dongwu

Team pages: Shaanxi Union · Suzhou Dongwu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Shaanxi Union1.83

Suzhou Dongwu1.11

1X2

53% 24% 22%

Shaanxi Union Draw Suzhou Dongwu

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Shaanxi Union 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWLWWL

Suzhou Dongwu 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LDDWWDDWWW

Head-to-head

Shaanxi Union 1–1–1 Suzhou Dongwu (3 last)

Suzhou Dongwu0-3Shaanxi Union
Shaanxi Union1-3Suzhou Dongwu
Suzhou Dongwu0-0Shaanxi Union

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shaanxi Union 1520 · Suzhou Dongwu 1528

	Shaanxi Union	Draw	Suzhou Dongwu
Our model	53%	25%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shaanxi Union	Suzhou Dongwu
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.7	1.3 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.75

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:40 +4’	1.67	3.75	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shaanxi Union 1–1–1 Suzhou Dongwu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	0-3 HT 0-1	Shaanxi Union
12/07/25 China Division 1	Shaanxi Union	1-3 HT 0-2	Suzhou Dongwu
16/03/25 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	0-0 HT 0-0	Shaanxi Union

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	23	15	6	2	46	19	51
2	Shenzhen Juniors	22	12	6	4	38	24	42
3	Guangxi Hengchen	22	11	6	5	38	26	39
4	Nantong Zhiyun	21	9	9	3	28	18	36
5	Yanbian Longding	23	9	8	6	32	25	35
6	Shaanxi Union	22	9	5	8	33	24	32
7	Ningbo Professional FC	22	9	5	8	27	28	29
8	Changchun Yatai	22	10	2	10	36	37	28
9	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	22	7	6	9	19	24	27
10	Dalian K'un City	22	6	8	8	29	33	26
11	Wuxi Wugo	20	7	5	8	31	25	26
12	Suzhou Dongwu	23	7	7	9	26	31	25
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	23	4	10	9	34	45	22
14	Nanjing City	22	5	6	11	19	28	21
15	Meizhou Hakka	22	6	3	13	22	46	12
16	Foshan Nanshi	23	2	6	15	23	48	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shaanxi Union	Suzhou Dongwu
Dingnan Ganlian FC	2-1 W	4-3 W
Yanbian Longding	3-1 W	1-3 L
Nantong Zhiyun	1-4 L	0-0 D
Changchun Yatai	2-1 W	2-1 W
Dalian K'un City	2-2 D	0-0 D
Shenzhen Juniors	3-0 W	0-0 D
Guangxi Hengchen	0-3 L	3-3 D
Meizhou Hakka	4-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Shaanxi Union (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shaanxi Union

WLWDLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
05/09	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	2-1	8	1	W
29/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
22/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	1-3	1-4	2	5	L
14/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	2-1	5	3	W
08/08	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-1	1-2	2	6	L
01/08	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	1-2	2-2	7	6	D
25/07	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	2-0	3-0	10	4	W
18/07	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
11/07	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-0	4-0	5	1	W

Suzhou Dongwu

LDDWWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	3-2	1	4	W
06/09	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
29/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	1-2	4-3	6	1	W
22/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-2	3-3	3	2	D
16/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
08/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
02/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
26/07	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
17/07	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
11/07	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-0	1-3	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shaanxi Union vs Suzhou Dongwu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shaanxi Union win (53%). Probabilities: Shaanxi Union 53%, draw 24%, Suzhou Dongwu 22%.

How many goals are expected in Shaanxi Union vs Suzhou Dongwu?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Shaanxi Union 1.83 · Suzhou Dongwu 1.11), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Shaanxi Union vs Suzhou Dongwu?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.