Football · China Division 1 · 18/09, 13:00

Prediction: Dalian K'un City vs Ningbo Professional FC

Team pages: Dalian K'un City · Ningbo Professional FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

Dalian K'un City1.39

Ningbo Professional FC0.95

1X2

47% 28% 25%

Dalian K'un City Draw Ningbo Professional FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Dalian K'un City 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Ningbo Professional FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Dalian K'un City 0–3 Ningbo Professional FC (3 last)

Ningbo Professional FC1-0Dalian K'un City
Dalian K'un City1-2Ningbo Professional FC
Ningbo Professional FC3-0Dalian K'un City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalian K'un City 1477 · Ningbo Professional FC 1502

	Dalian K'un City	Draw	Ningbo Professional FC
Our model	46%	30%	24%
Market	47%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ningbo Professional FC: 3-0-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dalian K'un City	Ningbo Professional FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.4	1.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.30

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.52
2	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 4.35 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:59 +13’	1.91	3.30	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:56 +16’	1.77	3.52	4.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian K'un City 0–0–3 Ningbo Professional FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Dalian K'un City
11/10/25 China Division 1	Dalian K'un City	1-2 HT 1-1	Ningbo Professional FC
01/06/25 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Dalian K'un City

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	23	15	6	2	46	19	51
2	Shenzhen Juniors	22	12	6	4	38	24	42
3	Guangxi Hengchen	22	11	6	5	38	26	39
4	Nantong Zhiyun	21	9	9	3	28	18	36
5	Yanbian Longding	23	9	8	6	32	25	35
6	Shaanxi Union	22	9	5	8	33	24	32
7	Ningbo Professional FC	22	9	5	8	27	28	29
8	Changchun Yatai	22	10	2	10	36	37	28
9	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	22	7	6	9	19	24	27
10	Dalian K'un City	22	6	8	8	29	33	26
11	Wuxi Wugo	20	7	5	8	31	25	26
12	Suzhou Dongwu	23	7	7	9	26	31	25
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	23	4	10	9	34	45	22
14	Nanjing City	22	5	6	11	19	28	21
15	Meizhou Hakka	22	6	3	13	22	46	12
16	Foshan Nanshi	23	2	6	15	23	48	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dalian K'un City	Ningbo Professional FC
Guangdong GZ-Power	1-1 D	1-2 L
Foshan Nanshi	0-0 D	1-0 W
Yanbian Longding	1-3 L	2-3 L
Dingnan Ganlian FC	1-2 L	1-0 W
Shaanxi Union	2-2 D	1-0 W
Meizhou Hakka	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ningbo Professional FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dalian K'un City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
05/09	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
30/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	2-0	3-2	6	5	W
22/08	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
15/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-1	1-3	10	5	L
08/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-2	1-2	11	1	L
01/08	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	2-1	2-2	3	6	D
26/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
18/07	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-2	0-2	9	2	L
11/07	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-0	2-0	1	2	W

Ningbo Professional FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
05/09	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
30/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
22/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-1	2-3	7	5	L
16/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
01/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-1	2-4	8	5	L
25/07	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-0	1-2	8	2	L
18/07	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
13/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
04/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-1	2-1	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalian K'un City vs Ningbo Professional FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian K'un City win (47%). Probabilities: Dalian K'un City 47%, draw 28%, Ningbo Professional FC 25%.

How many goals are expected in Dalian K'un City vs Ningbo Professional FC?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Dalian K'un City 1.39 · Ningbo Professional FC 0.95), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Dalian K'un City vs Ningbo Professional FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.