Football · China Division 1 · 12/09, 13:30

Prediction: Guangdong GZ-Power vs Dalian K'un City

Team pages: Guangdong GZ-Power · Dalian K'un City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Guangdong GZ-Power2.12

Dalian K'un City0.87

1X2

65% 21% 14%

Guangdong GZ-Power Draw Dalian K'un City

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Guangdong GZ-Power 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWWWWD

Dalian K'un City 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDDLLWWD

Head-to-head

Guangdong GZ-Power 2–2–1 Dalian K'un City (5 last)

Dalian K'un City1-1Guangdong GZ-Power
Guangdong GZ-Power2-2Dalian K'un City
Dalian K'un City0-2Guangdong GZ-Power
Dalian K'un City1-0Guangdong GZ-Power
Guangdong GZ-Power2-1Dalian K'un City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guangdong GZ-Power 1597 · Dalian K'un City 1486

	Guangdong GZ-Power	Draw	Dalian K'un City
Our model	65%	21%	13%
Market	66%	21%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guangdong GZ-Power (rating 1597 vs 1486).
H2H favours Guangdong GZ-Power: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guangdong GZ-Power	Dalian K'un City
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.6	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.1	3.2 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.33

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Pinn 1.45 ★
X	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.38
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
04:06 +12’	1.36	4.33	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:55 +23’	1.45	4.38	6.23

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangdong GZ-Power 2–2–1 Dalian K'un City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 China Division 1	Dalian K'un City	1-1 HT 1-1	Guangdong GZ-Power
18/07/25 China Division 1	Guangdong GZ-Power	2-2 HT 0-2	Dalian K'un City
30/03/25 China Division 1	Dalian K'un City	0-2 HT 0-0	Guangdong GZ-Power
13/10/24 China Division 2	Dalian K'un City	1-0 HT 0-0	Guangdong GZ-Power
07/09/24 China Division 2	Guangdong GZ-Power	2-1 HT 1-0	Dalian K'un City

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	22	15	5	2	45	18	50
2	Shenzhen Juniors	22	12	6	4	38	24	42
3	Guangxi Hengchen	21	10	6	5	36	25	36
4	Nantong Zhiyun	21	9	9	3	28	18	36
5	Yanbian Longding	22	9	8	5	31	23	35
6	Shaanxi Union	21	9	5	7	33	23	32
7	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	22	7	6	9	19	24	27
8	Wuxi Wugo	20	7	5	8	31	25	26
9	Ningbo Professional FC	21	8	5	8	26	28	26
10	Changchun Yatai	21	9	2	10	35	37	25
11	Dalian K'un City	21	6	7	8	28	32	25
12	Suzhou Dongwu	22	6	7	9	23	29	22
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	22	4	10	8	34	44	22
14	Nanjing City	22	5	6	11	19	28	21
15	Meizhou Hakka	22	6	3	13	22	46	12
16	Foshan Nanshi	22	2	6	14	21	45	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guangdong GZ-Power	Dalian K'un City
Nantong Zhiyun	1-1 D	3-2 W
Meizhou Hakka	5-1 W	0-2 L
Wuxi Wugo	3-0 W	2-1 W
Guangxi Hengchen	2-0 W	1-3 L
Foshan Nanshi	1-1 D	0-0 D
Nanjing City	1-0 W	2-0 W
Suzhou Dongwu	2-2 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Guangdong GZ-Power (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guangdong GZ-Power

DWWWDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
30/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	2-0	3-0	7	6	W
22/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	2-0	5-1	3	2	W
15/08	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	3-0	3-0	2	1	W
09/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
01/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
25/07	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
18/07	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
11/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
04/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	2-2	2	5	D

Dalian K'un City

LWLDDLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
30/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	2-0	3-2	6	5	W
22/08	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
15/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-1	1-3	10	5	L
08/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-2	1-2	11	1	L
01/08	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	2-1	2-2	3	6	D
26/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
18/07	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-2	0-2	9	2	L
11/07	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-0	2-0	1	2	W
05/07	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-0	1-3	3	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guangdong GZ-Power vs Dalian K'un City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangdong GZ-Power win (65%). Probabilities: Guangdong GZ-Power 65%, draw 21%, Dalian K'un City 14%.

How many goals are expected in Guangdong GZ-Power vs Dalian K'un City?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Guangdong GZ-Power 2.12 · Dalian K'un City 0.87), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Guangdong GZ-Power vs Dalian K'un City?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.