Football · China Division 1 · 10/10, 13:30

Prediction: Meizhou Hakka vs Wuxi Wugo

Team pages: Meizhou Hakka · Wuxi Wugo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Meizhou Hakka1.22

Wuxi Wugo1.57

1X2

28% 28% 44%

Meizhou Hakka Draw Wuxi Wugo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Meizhou Hakka 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Wuxi Wugo 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Meizhou Hakka 0–1–1 Wuxi Wugo (2 last)

Wuxi Wugo1-1Meizhou Hakka
Wuxi Wugo1-0Meizhou Hakka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Meizhou Hakka 1454 · Wuxi Wugo 1467

	Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Wuxi Wugo
Our model	29%	27%	44%
Market	28%	29%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Meizhou Hakka	Wuxi Wugo
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.1	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.6	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.10

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.49
2	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.34 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
10:34 +16’	3.20	3.10	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:20 +30’	2.74	3.49	2.34

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Meizhou Hakka 0–1–1 Wuxi Wugo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 China Division 1	Wuxi Wugo	1-1 HT 1-1	Meizhou Hakka
21/06/24 China FA Cup	Wuxi Wugo	1-0 HT 0-0	Meizhou Hakka

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	25	17	6	2	52	21	57
2	Guangxi Hengchen	24	13	6	5	40	26	45
3	Nantong Zhiyun	25	12	9	4	34	20	45
4	Shenzhen Juniors	25	12	8	5	40	29	44
5	Shaanxi Union	24	10	6	8	38	26	36
6	Yanbian Longding	25	9	9	7	34	28	36
7	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	25	9	7	9	23	25	34
8	Wuxi Wugo	25	9	6	10	38	31	33
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38	41	30
10	Ningbo Professional FC	25	9	5	11	27	31	29
11	Dalian K'un City	25	7	8	10	30	37	29
12	Suzhou Dongwu	25	7	9	9	30	35	27
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	25	4	12	9	35	46	24
14	Nanjing City	24	5	6	13	20	33	21
15	Meizhou Hakka	25	7	4	14	25	50	16
16	Foshan Nanshi	24	2	7	15	24	49	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Meizhou Hakka	Wuxi Wugo
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	1-3 L	0-2 L
Nanjing City	2-1 W	3-0 W
Shenzhen Juniors	1-5 L	0-1 L
Ningbo Professional FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Guangdong GZ-Power	1-5 L	0-3 L
Guangxi Hengchen	0-1 L	0-1 L
Suzhou Dongwu	0-1 L	2-2 D
Yanbian Longding	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Wuxi Wugo (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Meizhou Hakka

LLWLLDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
19/09	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	1-3	9	3	L
13/09	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
06/09	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	1-5	1	2	L
30/08	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
22/08	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-2	1-5	5	2	L
15/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
08/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	3-2	4	5	W
02/08	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
26/07	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-2	1-2	7	5	L

Wuxi Wugo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-1	2-2	6	3	D
29/09	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
25/09	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
19/09	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
13/09	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-1	1-3	1	3	L
05/09	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
29/08	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
22/08	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
15/08	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-3	0-3	3	1	L
02/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-1	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Meizhou Hakka vs Wuxi Wugo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wuxi Wugo win (44%). Probabilities: Meizhou Hakka 28%, draw 28%, Wuxi Wugo 44%.

How many goals are expected in Meizhou Hakka vs Wuxi Wugo?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Meizhou Hakka 1.22 · Wuxi Wugo 1.57), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Meizhou Hakka vs Wuxi Wugo?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.