Football · China Division 1 · 11/10, 13:00
Prediction: Ningbo Professional FC vs Nanjing City
Team pages: Ningbo Professional FC · Nanjing City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Ningbo Professional FC1.51
Nanjing City0.86
1X2
Ningbo Professional FC
Draw
Nanjing City
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Ningbo Professional FC
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Nanjing City
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ningbo Professional FC
1–4–1
Nanjing City
(6 last)
- Nanjing City1-2Ningbo Professional FC
- Ningbo Professional FC1-1Nanjing City
- Nanjing City1-1Ningbo Professional FC
- Nanjing City0-0Ningbo Professional FC
- Ningbo Professional FC0-1Nanjing City
- Ningbo Professional FC0-0Nanjing City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ningbo Professional FC 1442 · Nanjing City 1398
| Ningbo Professional FC | Draw | Nanjing City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 28% | 20% |
| Market | 52% | 28% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ningbo Professional FC (rating 1442 vs 1398).
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ningbo Professional FC | Nanjing City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.5 | 0.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/90/10% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.9 | 1.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ningbo Professional FC 1–4–1 Nanjing City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Ningbo Professional FC |
| 02/08/25 China Division 1 | Ningbo Professional FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Nanjing City |
| 12/04/25 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ningbo Professional FC |
| 06/07/24 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ningbo Professional FC |
| 10/03/24 China Division 1 | Ningbo Professional FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Nanjing City |
| 13/08/23 China Division 1 | Ningbo Professional FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nanjing City |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 52 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | Guangxi Hengchen | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 45 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 34 | 20 | 45 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 44 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 27 | 39 |
| 6 | Yanbian Longding | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 28 | 36 |
| 7 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 34 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugo | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 31 | 33 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 41 | 30 |
| 10 | Ningbo Professional FC | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 31 | 29 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 29 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 35 | 27 |
| 13 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 35 | 46 | 24 |
| 14 | Nanjing City | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 37 | 21 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 50 | 16 |
| 16 | Foshan Nanshi | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 49 | 16 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ningbo Professional FC | Nanjing City |
|---|---|---|
| Nantong Zhiyun | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Wuxi Wugo | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Shaanxi Union | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Changchun Yatai | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Meizhou Hakka | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Yanbian Longding | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Shenzhen Juniors | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Guangxi Hengchen | 2-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 0 W 2 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Ningbo Professional FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ningbo Professional FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/09 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
Nanjing City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 16/08 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ningbo Professional FC vs Nanjing City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ningbo Professional FC win (52%). Probabilities: Ningbo Professional FC 52%, draw 28%, Nanjing City 20%.
How many goals are expected in Ningbo Professional FC vs Nanjing City?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Ningbo Professional FC 1.51 · Nanjing City 0.86), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ningbo Professional FC vs Nanjing City?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.