Football · China Division 1 · 11/10, 09:00
Prediction: Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun
Team pages: Yanbian Longding · Nantong Zhiyun
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Yanbian Longding1
Nantong Zhiyun1.47
1X2
Yanbian Longding
Draw
Nantong Zhiyun
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Yanbian Longding
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Nantong Zhiyun
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yanbian Longding
2–1
Nantong Zhiyun
(3 last)
- Nantong Zhiyun2-0Yanbian Longding
- Nantong Zhiyun0-1Yanbian Longding
- Yanbian Longding1-0Nantong Zhiyun
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yanbian Longding 1472 · Nantong Zhiyun 1538
| Yanbian Longding | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 29% | 47% |
| Market | 25% | 28% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantong Zhiyun (rating 1472 vs 1538).
- H2H favours Yanbian Longding: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yanbian Longding | Nantong Zhiyun | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.1 | 3.2 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yanbian Longding 2–0–1 Nantong Zhiyun
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 China Division 1 | Nantong Zhiyun | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Yanbian Longding |
| 01/11/25 China Division 1 | Nantong Zhiyun | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Yanbian Longding |
| 29/06/25 China Division 1 | Yanbian Longding | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nantong Zhiyun |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 52 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | Guangxi Hengchen | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 45 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 34 | 20 | 45 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 44 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 27 | 39 |
| 6 | Yanbian Longding | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 28 | 36 |
| 7 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 34 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugo | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 31 | 33 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 41 | 30 |
| 10 | Ningbo Professional FC | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 31 | 29 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 29 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 35 | 27 |
| 13 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 35 | 46 | 24 |
| 14 | Nanjing City | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 37 | 21 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 50 | 16 |
| 16 | Foshan Nanshi | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 49 | 16 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yanbian Longding | Nantong Zhiyun |
|---|---|---|
| Changchun Yatai | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Guangdong GZ-Power | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Guangxi Hengchen | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Wuxi Wugo | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Shaanxi Union | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Ningbo Professional FC | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Dalian K'un City | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Nanjing City | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Nantong Zhiyun (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yanbian Longding
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/09 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Nantong Zhiyun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
3-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nantong Zhiyun win (47%). Probabilities: Yanbian Longding 25%, draw 28%, Nantong Zhiyun 47%.
How many goals are expected in Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Yanbian Longding 1 · Nantong Zhiyun 1.47), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.