Football · China Division 1 · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: Ningbo Professional FC vs Suzhou Dongwu

Team pages: Ningbo Professional FC · Suzhou Dongwu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

Ningbo Professional FC1.36

Suzhou Dongwu1.05

1X2

43% 29% 28%

Ningbo Professional FC Draw Suzhou Dongwu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Ningbo Professional FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLDLWLLLD

Suzhou Dongwu 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWWDDD

Head-to-head

Ningbo Professional FC 1–3–2 Suzhou Dongwu (6 last)

Suzhou Dongwu1-2Ningbo Professional FC
Ningbo Professional FC0-0Suzhou Dongwu
Suzhou Dongwu2-0Ningbo Professional FC
Ningbo Professional FC1-1Suzhou Dongwu
Suzhou Dongwu1-0Ningbo Professional FC
Suzhou Dongwu1-1Ningbo Professional FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ningbo Professional FC 1451 · Suzhou Dongwu 1539

	Ningbo Professional FC	Draw	Suzhou Dongwu
Our model	42%	30%	28%
Market	43%	29%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suzhou Dongwu (rating 1451 vs 1539).
H2H favours Suzhou Dongwu: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ningbo Professional FC	Suzhou Dongwu
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.3	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/90/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.6	2.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.10

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.81 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:08 +3’	2.10	3.10	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:47 +29’	2.79	2.91	2.66
12:11 +15’	2.69▼	2.95▲	2.72▲
13:07 +31’	2.81▲	2.95	2.61▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ningbo Professional FC 1–3–2 Suzhou Dongwu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	1-2 HT 0-2	Ningbo Professional FC
16/08/25 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Suzhou Dongwu
27/04/25 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	2-0 HT 0-0	Ningbo Professional FC
31/08/24 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Suzhou Dongwu
14/04/24 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	1-0 HT 1-0	Ningbo Professional FC
02/09/23 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	1-1 HT 1-1	Ningbo Professional FC

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	26	18	6	2	55	22	60
2	Nantong Zhiyun	26	13	9	4	35	20	48
3	Guangxi Hengchen	26	13	7	6	41	28	46
4	Shenzhen Juniors	26	12	9	5	41	30	45
5	Shaanxi Union	26	12	6	8	47	28	42
6	Wuxi Wugo	26	10	6	10	41	31	36
7	Yanbian Longding	26	9	9	8	34	29	36
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	26	9	8	9	23	25	35
9	Changchun Yatai	26	10	5	11	39	42	31
10	Ningbo Professional FC	26	9	6	11	27	31	30
11	Dalian K'un City	26	7	9	10	31	38	30
12	Suzhou Dongwu	26	7	10	9	30	35	28
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	26	4	12	10	36	49	24
14	Nanjing City	26	5	7	14	21	37	22
15	Meizhou Hakka	26	7	4	15	25	53	16
16	Foshan Nanshi	26	3	7	16	26	54	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ningbo Professional FC	Suzhou Dongwu
Nanjing City	0-0 D	2-0 W
Nantong Zhiyun	0-1 L	0-0 D
Wuxi Wugo	0-1 L	2-2 D
Shaanxi Union	1-0 W	2-2 D
Changchun Yatai	0-2 L	2-1 W
Meizhou Hakka	1-1 D	1-0 W
Guangxi Hengchen	2-4 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Suzhou Dongwu (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ningbo Professional FC

LDLDLWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
06/10	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
29/09	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
18/09	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
12/09	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
05/09	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
30/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
22/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-1	2-3	7	5	L
16/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
01/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-1	2-4	7	4	L

Suzhou Dongwu

WWDDWWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
06/10	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
19/09	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-2	2-2	7	4	D
12/09	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	3-2	1	4	W
06/09	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
29/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	1-2	4-3	6	1	W
22/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-2	3-3	3	2	D
16/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
08/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
02/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ningbo Professional FC vs Suzhou Dongwu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ningbo Professional FC win (43%). Probabilities: Ningbo Professional FC 43%, draw 29%, Suzhou Dongwu 28%.

How many goals are expected in Ningbo Professional FC vs Suzhou Dongwu?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Ningbo Professional FC 1.36 · Suzhou Dongwu 1.05), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ningbo Professional FC vs Suzhou Dongwu?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.