Football · China Division 1 · 18/10, 13:30

Prediction: Nanjing City vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

Team pages: Nanjing City · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

Nanjing City1.41

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC0.93

1X2

47% 29% 24%

Nanjing City Draw Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Nanjing City 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

DDDLLLLLLD

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWDWWD

Head-to-head

Nanjing City 0–2–4 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC (6 last)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC2-1Nanjing City
Nanjing City1-3Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC2-0Nanjing City
Nanjing City1-1Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC3-1Nanjing City
Nanjing City1-1Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nanjing City 1408 · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1593

	Nanjing City	Draw	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Our model	47%	30%	24%
Market	48%	28%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC (rating 1408 vs 1593).
H2H favours Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nanjing City	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.9	1.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.2	1.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.25

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 16:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 1.90▼	Pinn 2.04 ★
X	3.00 → 3.25▲	Pinn 3.41
2	3.10 → 3.70▲	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.4% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:56 +11’	2.20	3.00	3.10
20:54 +10’	2.15▼	3.10▲	3.10
15:50 +20’	1.90▼	3.25▲	3.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:24 +43’	2.09	3.41	3.26
19:41 +83’	2.16▲	3.36▼	3.14▼
23:58 +22’	1.88▼	3.59▲	3.76▲
07:55 +47’	1.93▲	3.52▼	3.59▼
16:08 +2’	2.04▲	3.41▼	3.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nanjing City 0–2–4 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 China Division 1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Nanjing City
05/10/25 China Division 1	Nanjing City	1-3 HT 1-1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
25/05/25 China Division 1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Nanjing City
05/10/24 China Division 1	Nanjing City	1-1 HT 1-0	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
25/05/24 China Division 1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	3-1 HT 2-1	Nanjing City
16/09/23 China Division 1	Nanjing City	1-1 HT 1-1	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

Standings · China Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	26	18	6	2	55	22	60
2	Nantong Zhiyun	26	13	9	4	35	20	48
3	Guangxi Hengchen	26	13	7	6	41	28	46
4	Shenzhen Juniors	26	12	9	5	41	30	45
5	Shaanxi Union	26	12	6	8	47	28	42
6	Yanbian Longding	27	10	9	8	39	29	39
7	Wuxi Wugo	26	10	6	10	41	31	36
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	26	9	8	9	23	25	35
9	Changchun Yatai	26	10	5	11	39	42	31
10	Ningbo Professional FC	26	9	6	11	27	31	30
11	Dalian K'un City	26	7	9	10	31	38	30
12	Suzhou Dongwu	26	7	10	9	30	35	28
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	26	4	12	10	36	49	24
14	Nanjing City	26	5	7	14	21	37	22
15	Meizhou Hakka	26	7	4	15	25	53	16
16	Foshan Nanshi	27	3	7	17	26	59	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nanjing City	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
Shaanxi Union	1-4 L	2-1 W
Wuxi Wugo	0-3 L	2-0 W
Meizhou Hakka	1-2 L	3-1 W
Suzhou Dongwu	0-2 L	0-0 D
Guangxi Hengchen	0-2 L	1-0 W
Shenzhen Juniors	1-3 L	0-0 D
Dingnan Ganlian FC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 6 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nanjing City

DDDLLLLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
07/10	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-1	1-4	1	3	L
19/09	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
13/09	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
06/09	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
29/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
23/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-1	1-3	3	8	L
16/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
08/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	1-1	1-1	0	4	D
01/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-0	1-1	5	6	D

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

DWWWWWDWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
06/10	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/09	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
13/09	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
06/09	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
29/08	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
22/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	2-1	2-1	2	5	W
16/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-0	2-1	0	6	W
08/08	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
02/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	1-0	2-2	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nanjing City vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nanjing City win (47%). Probabilities: Nanjing City 47%, draw 29%, Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Nanjing City vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Nanjing City 1.41 · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 0.93), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nanjing City vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.