Football · China Division 1 · 18/10, 10:00

Prediction: Shaanxi Union vs Guangdong GZ-Power

Team pages: Shaanxi Union · Guangdong GZ-Power

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

Shaanxi Union1.65

Guangdong GZ-Power1.71

1X2

36% 25% 38%

Shaanxi Union Draw Guangdong GZ-Power

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Shaanxi Union 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLDWWW

Guangdong GZ-Power 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDDWWW

Head-to-head

Shaanxi Union 0–3–2 Guangdong GZ-Power (5 last)

Guangdong GZ-Power2-1Shaanxi Union
Guangdong GZ-Power2-2Shaanxi Union
Shaanxi Union1-2Guangdong GZ-Power
Guangdong GZ-Power0-0Shaanxi Union
Shaanxi Union1-1Guangdong GZ-Power

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shaanxi Union 1533 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1602

	Shaanxi Union	Draw	Guangdong GZ-Power
Our model	36%	25%	39%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guangdong GZ-Power (rating 1533 vs 1602).
H2H favours Guangdong GZ-Power: 2-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shaanxi Union	Guangdong GZ-Power
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.4	2.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.2	2.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.40

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 13.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:43 +16’	2.60	3.40	2.30
15:18 +16’	2.45▼	3.40	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shaanxi Union 0–3–2 Guangdong GZ-Power

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 China Division 1	Guangdong GZ-Power	2-1 HT 1-1	Shaanxi Union
26/10/25 China Division 1	Guangdong GZ-Power	2-2 HT 0-0	Shaanxi Union
23/08/25 China Division 1	Shaanxi Union	1-2 HT 0-0	Guangdong GZ-Power
20/10/24 China Division 2	Guangdong GZ-Power	0-0 HT 0-0	Shaanxi Union
15/09/24 China Division 2	Shaanxi Union	1-1 HT 0-0	Guangdong GZ-Power

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	26	18	6	2	55	22	60
2	Nantong Zhiyun	26	13	9	4	35	20	48
3	Guangxi Hengchen	26	13	7	6	41	28	46
4	Shenzhen Juniors	26	12	9	5	41	30	45
5	Shaanxi Union	26	12	6	8	47	28	42
6	Yanbian Longding	27	10	9	8	39	29	39
7	Wuxi Wugo	26	10	6	10	41	31	36
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	26	9	8	9	23	25	35
9	Changchun Yatai	26	10	5	11	39	42	31
10	Ningbo Professional FC	26	9	6	11	27	31	30
11	Dalian K'un City	26	7	9	10	31	38	30
12	Suzhou Dongwu	26	7	10	9	30	35	28
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	26	4	12	10	36	49	24
14	Nanjing City	26	5	7	14	21	37	22
15	Meizhou Hakka	26	7	4	15	25	53	16
16	Foshan Nanshi	27	3	7	17	26	59	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shaanxi Union	Guangdong GZ-Power
Foshan Nanshi	5-1 W	1-1 D
Dalian K'un City	3-0 W	1-1 D
Dingnan Ganlian FC	2-1 W	3-1 W
Yanbian Longding	3-1 W	2-1 W
Nantong Zhiyun	1-4 L	1-1 D
Changchun Yatai	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shaanxi Union

LWLWWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-0	5-1	6	4	W
07/10	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-1	4-1	7	3	W
27/09	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	2-0	3-0	4	2	W
19/09	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-1	2-2	3	4	D
12/09	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
05/09	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	2-1	8	1	W
29/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
22/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	1-3	1-4	2	5	L
14/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
08/08	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-1	1-2	2	6	L

Guangdong GZ-Power

DWWWWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	1-1	3-1	4	6	W
07/10	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	1-0	4-1	7	4	W
18/09	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
12/09	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
05/09	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
30/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	2-0	3-0	7	6	W
22/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	2-0	5-1	3	2	W
15/08	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	3-0	3-0	2	1	W
09/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
01/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shaanxi Union vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guangdong GZ-Power win (38%). Probabilities: Shaanxi Union 36%, draw 25%, Guangdong GZ-Power 38%.

How many goals are expected in Shaanxi Union vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Shaanxi Union 1.65 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1.71), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Shaanxi Union vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.