Football · China Division 1 · 24/10, 13:30
Prediction: Nantong Zhiyun vs Shenzhen Juniors
Team pages: Nantong Zhiyun · Shenzhen Juniors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Nantong Zhiyun1.48
Shenzhen Juniors0.85
1X2
Nantong Zhiyun
Draw
Shenzhen Juniors
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Nantong Zhiyun
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Shenzhen Juniors
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nantong Zhiyun
2–1–0
Shenzhen Juniors
(3 last)
- Shenzhen Juniors0-0Nantong Zhiyun
- Shenzhen Juniors0-3Nantong Zhiyun
- Nantong Zhiyun5-0Shenzhen Juniors
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nantong Zhiyun 1554 · Shenzhen Juniors 1529
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Shenzhen Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 29% | 20% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nantong Zhiyun: 2-1-0.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nantong Zhiyun | Shenzhen Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7 | 3.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantong Zhiyun 2–1–0 Shenzhen Juniors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 China Division 1 | Shenzhen Juniors | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 21/09/25 China Division 1 | Shenzhen Juniors | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 10/05/25 China Division 1 | Nantong Zhiyun | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Shenzhen Juniors |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Nantong Zhiyun | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 36 | 20 | 51 |
| 3 | Guangxi Hengchen | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 30 | 47 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 31 | 46 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 51 | 28 | 45 |
| 6 | Yanbian Longding | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 39 |
| 7 | Wuxi Wugo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41 | 33 | 36 |
| 8 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 26 | 35 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41 | 44 | 32 |
| 10 | Ningbo Professional FC | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 32 | 31 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 31 | 36 | 29 |
| 13 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 38 | 49 | 27 |
| 14 | Nanjing City | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 37 | 25 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 25 | 54 | 16 |
| 16 | Foshan Nanshi | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 59 | 16 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nantong Zhiyun | Shenzhen Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Meizhou Hakka | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Yanbian Longding | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Ningbo Professional FC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Changchun Yatai | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Guangxi Hengchen | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Guangdong GZ-Power | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Dalian K'un City | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 4 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nantong Zhiyun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/10 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
Shenzhen Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 07/10 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
0-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nantong Zhiyun vs Shenzhen Juniors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantong Zhiyun win (52%). Probabilities: Nantong Zhiyun 52%, draw 28%, Shenzhen Juniors 21%.
How many goals are expected in Nantong Zhiyun vs Shenzhen Juniors?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Nantong Zhiyun 1.48 · Shenzhen Juniors 0.85), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nantong Zhiyun vs Shenzhen Juniors?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.